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Spain now among the five EU countries with the highest material deprivation
8.1% of the population suffers severe material and social deprivation, compared with an EU average of 6.3%. GDP is growing, but households are not feeling the improvement.
The economy is growing, but 8.1% cannot afford a week's holiday
How can Spain lead European growth while, at the same time, climbing from fifteenth to fifth place in severe material deprivation? The Funcas data on Eurostat statistics leave no room for interpretation: the severe material and social deprivation indicator affects 8.1% of the population, up from 7.4% in 2015, while the EU average fell from 9.7% to 6.3%. GDP is rising. Unemployment is falling. And the fridge in one in twelve homes still has a broken thermostat.
What severe material and social deprivation actually measures
It is not a vague concept. Eurostat requires households to accumulate seven out of thirteen deprivations to be considered in severe material and social deprivation: not being able to go on holiday at least one week a year, not being able to keep the home adequately heated, not being able to replace worn-out furniture, not being able to afford a meal with friends or new clothes. The previous indicator, still published by the INE (Spain's statistics institute), required four out of nine and excluded items such as mobile phones or colour televisions because of their low impact. Funcas keeps both to get a fuller picture.
The Spanish paradox has a clear epicentre: households with children under 16. Severe material and social deprivation in that group reaches 10.7%, against an overall average of 8.1%. The child deprivation premium (132%) is no longer the second highest in Europe, but it remains above the EU average (129%). And there is no trick here: most countries with a higher premium have low overall rates. Spain starts from a high floor.
Record GDP that never reaches the broken sofa
Economic expansion has not translated into better living conditions. That is the central conclusion of the analysis. Growth is concentrated in public consumption and low value-added sectors, while cumulative inflation in recent years has bitten into the purchasing power of pay packets. The result is a sense of financial strain that does not show up in the macro figures. One calculation doing the rounds in economic circles suggests most households could not survive more than three or four pay cheques without degrading their standard of living. The holiday indicator, the one HR consultancies use to gauge workplace sarracena, is a misleading thermometer: you can stay in a borrowed beach apartment and still be broke.
The age group that has best held up is 65 and over, with a rate of 4.7%. But their trend is the most telling: between 2015 and 2018, while the economy grew, their material and social deprivation doubled from 3.5% to 8.1%. The cause: pensions being uprated by 0.25% a year while CPI ran at 2%. Once that rule was abandoned, the squeeze eased. The lesson is that it is off-the-books inflation that empties your wallet.
The generation sitting civil service exams to avoid being poor
The 30 to 64 age group records rates similar to the average: 8% in material deprivation and 8.8% in material and social deprivation. But there is a fracture within that group. Young graduates compete for clerical positions while the private sector offers them endless internships. The flight to public employment is not a vocation: it is calculation. And that calculation carries an enormous private cost that appears in no statistic: years without paying social security contributions, without experience, and with the parental safety net propping up the limbo.
The state does not create wealth; it collects and redistributes it. A country where everyone is paid out of the budget is a closed circuit that pumps money inward until it bursts. The question is not how many civil servants there are, but why the private sector pays so badly that the public sector looks like El Dorado.
In the end, the picture is the usual one: a country that grows in the headlines and shrinks on the terraces. Or maybe not. Because the terraces stay full twelve months a year. Perhaps the cold is not noticeable with a coffee in hand.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (42 replies).
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