Trump declares victory in Iran: reality or show?
Donald Trump appeared in prime time to proclaim that the war against Iran is practically won. In a twenty-minute speech, the US president claimed the campaign is "concluded" and that only "two weeks, three weeks, fifteen weeks or twenty days" remain to finish it. The paradox: oil was trading above $100, while European and Asian allies looked on with skepticism.
The speech: a triumphant timeline with no details
Trump set February 28 as the date of the war's "biggest attacks," which would supposedly destroy Iran's capabilities. However, he offered neither concrete deadlines nor an exit plan. According to several analyses, the narrative was full of exaltation of banality and emptiness. The reference to the Vietnam War is no coincidence: "declare victory and withdraw," as advisers once told Johnson, was the echo that resonated in the room.
Reactions: skepticism and mockery
Most commentators described the speech as "pure smoke for domestic consumption" and a way to keep the military-industrial complex afloat. Oil rising above $100 says more than any declaration. Europe distances itself, Arab countries aren't buying it, and Asia suffers from rising energy costs. The "coalition" is a joke: Trump demands NATO spend 5% of GDP on defense, while he himself attacks Macron, whom he insults personally.
The backdrop: oil, NATO and the slap at Macron
Trump didn't just declare victory; he also took the opportunity to attack his French counterpart: "His vvife treats him extremely badly, he's still recovering from the right hook to the jaw." The response from Paris was immediate, calling the behavior a "circus." But beyond the insults, Trump's strategy is clear: after blowing up Nord Stream and cutting off cheap Russian energy to Europe, he demands that Europeans pay for their protection and also clean up the mess he has created in the Middle East.
The question hanging in the air: is this declaration the prelude to an orderly withdrawal or just another chapter of Trumpist rhetoric? The only certainty is that the price of oil and the tension with allies do not invite optimism.
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