Sweden's non-European voters hand left-wing bloc victory

Non-European immigration has been decisive in Sweden's recent election, tipping the balance in favour of the left. The pogre bloc secured victory by a narrow margin of three seats.

## The non-European vote tips the balance

The latest election in **Sweden** has produced a close result, but with a clear trend: the left-wing bloc, led by the **Social Democratic Party**, has won. The margin was minimal, just **three seats**, but enough to change the political landscape. Preliminary data, with almost **95% of the vote counted**, give the opposition **176 seats** against **173** for the outgoing government.

## An electorate with its own weight

The most striking aspect of this election is the role played by voters of non-European origin. According to exit polls, as many as **70%** of these voters opted for left-wing parties. This bloc includes the **Social Democrats**, the **Left Party**, the **Greens** and the **Centre Party**. The support breaks down as **21%** for the Left, **38%** for the Social Democrats, **7%** for the Greens and **4%** for the Centre. This backing had already been observed in previous elections, with similar figures in **2022**.

## Demographic change and its electoral reflection

The weight of this electorate has grown steadily in recent decades. In **1982** it represented barely **0.3%** of eligible voters; by **2002** it had already reached more than **3%**. Today, it is estimated that around **13%** of the electoral roll, nearly **one million people**, are of non-European origin. Most of these people come from Muslim-majority countries in the Middle East, Africa and Asia, as a result of migration and family reunification policies. This demographic segment, along with other groups of non-European origin, appears to be a solid electoral base for the left, resisting even a possible shift in public opinion towards more restrictive immigration positions.