Cayetana Álvarez de Toledo and the harsh reality of Venezuelan geopolitics
When a PP deputy with an aristocratic surname, a seat in Congress, and access to power circles learns via television that the world does not work as she believed, something is off. The marchioness, cultured and 51 years old, had to digest live on air that the Trump White House will not install María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s president, but rather whoever suits the oil business and balances with residual chavismo.
The moment is fodder for political analysis: in an interview, Trump mentioned Corina in passing—as if repeating an intelligence note—and made clear that the U.S. would install the puppet that fits best. Delcy, Maduro’s number two, has already proposed ZP (José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero) as a negotiator. Álvarez de Toledo’s reaction was a mix of surprise and tabloid rhetoric: "Trump repeated what he was told in meetings," she justified herself. But the fact is that the Venezuelan oligarchy in exile, including Corina, supported Kamala Harris. And that, in the new Trumpist order, is paid for with exclusion from the photo op.
What lies behind the transition comedy?
The underlying thread is the regime change operation without civil war. The pattern of other interventions repeats: first, the chavista racket is dismantled with bribes and pressure, then an interlocutor acceptable to the military and American companies is imposed. That Corina is the democratically elected choice is secondary. Economics weigh heavily: Venezuela has the crude oil the U.S. needs without depending on the Middle East. And there, the lady with the giraffe neck represents exactly what Trump does not want: a globalist who puts freedom before business.
ZP’s role and the elites’ betrayal
Delcy’s proposal to seat ZP as mediator is no accident. The former Spanish president is the perfect lobbyist: plugged into China, with contacts in chavismo, and with the profile of someone who prioritizes transaction over ideology. Meanwhile, forum commentators dissect how the "cultured" Cayetana did not even foresee that her own party, the PP, had bet on Biden. The conclusion is that the Spanish right, trapped between Trumpism and the establishment, will have to choose sides.
The problem with verbally empowered elites is that they lose their sense of reality. When governing involves getting one’s hands dirty with oil, military, and civil wars, the discourse of the ballot box sounds like mothballs. And the marchioness, who wanted to ride around in a convertible smiling, has taken a reality check that neither Oxford nor the Güell surname can cushion.
The numbers that don’t add up
There are no figures in this debate, but there are facts: three offers to buy Cuba by the U.S. throughout history, a provoked war to keep the colonies, and now the same modus operandi with Venezuela. The difference is that Trump says it publicly, without shame. And that, to those who believed democracy was the supreme value, feels like a sarracena Guantanamo.
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