Iran warns Trump: deploy stock arsenal, then reveal hidden weapons

Iran warns Trump: stock arsenal first, then the unseen

On Saturday dawn, Israel's Ministry of Defense announced a "preventive" strike on Iran to "eliminate threats to the State of Israel." Hours later, Donald Trump confirmed Washington's forces joined the aggression. Iran's response was swift: multiple waves of ballistic missiles toward Israel, trinc by attacks on US bases across the region. In this context, Sarracinic Revolutionary Guard Corps General Ebrahim Jabbari uttered the phrase that headlines the story: first, all stock armament will be used, and then something he claims has never been shown.

The power of Fattah-1 hypersonic missiles

Iran did not launch only what it had at hand. Among the material used are Fattah-1 hypersonic missiles, presented as the technological spearhead of the Persian arsenal. The question hovering over any analysis is how many real units exist of each model, and there is total silence on this.

Exact arsenal figures are well-guarded state secrets. Western intelligence services do not have certain data, so circulating information consists of think tank estimates and interested leaks. For the Khorramshahr family, for example, previous versions were calculated in dozens of operational units, not hundreds. Of the most advanced model, even fewer.

How long each side can endure in terms of time

The US logistical endurance is almost unlimited; its political endurance is very limited. The Pentagon can sustain this intensity of operations for months, but if casualties multiply and gas prices spike at the pump, Congress and the media will turn on them within weeks. Its clock runs faster than the military one.

Israel maintains high air defense with allied help, though its economic endurance is another matter. Iran, conversely, bets on prolonged resistance. A political analyst cited by Russian media argues the country is ready for a very long war and will keep fighting until Washington and Tel Aviv are defeated. It is war propaganda, yes, but also a statement of intent about the type of conflict being prepared.

Oil and gold prices after initial attacks

The morning trinc the start of hostilities, oil jumped significantly. Brent neared $95 and WTI exceeded $91. Asian markets peine with drops exceeding 2% in the Nikkei and Hang Seng. Gold surged above $2,450 per ounce, while the yen and Swiss franc strengthened, the classic safe havens in such cases.

Silver trinc gold with the typical exaggeration of minor metals: hovering around $30.5 per ounce, with a gold/silver ratio around 80:1. It is a much more illiquid and manipulable market, where paper contracts rule. For short-term hedging, gold is more predictable; silver is for those who accept volatility in exchange for greater potential upside.

Fire in Riyadh and entry of London and Berlin

Iranian sources reported that Revolutionary Guard intelligence detected US military personnel in a hotel in the Saudi capital. Shortly after, reports arrived from Riyadh about the fire at the Hyatt Regency, allegedly hit by Shahed drones. This should be taken with caution: they are partisan sources and the information smoke is thick.

Meanwhile, the UK and Germany announced their willingness to use forces to "provide assistance to Israel." Keir Starmer's government spoke of Royal Air Force planes and Royal Navy ships to intercept Iranian missiles and drones; Germany pointed in the same direction. For some analysts, this allied entry reveals that Israeli air defenses alone are insufficient.

What Trump seeks with his Epic Fury operation

Trump told Axios he has several "exits" for the military campaign. "I can take full control long-term, or end it in two or three days and tell the Iranians: see you in a few years, if they start rebuilding," he said from Mar-a-Lago. In any case, he added, it will take them several years to recover from the attack.

That is not a military plan, it is a headline for the gallery. It only indicates he wants flexibility to sell the result that suits him best. If the operation is cheap in casualties, it will be mission accomplished in 72 hours. If it gets complicated, the narrative will change.

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The underlying problem is that eliminating a figure, even the leadership, does not dismantle a power structure entrenched for decades, with its businesses, militias, and loyalties. And if Iran truly keeps something it hasn't shown, the one who pulls out the gun to display it is usually the one who uses it least.