Light howitzers reach the front and last less than a caramel in the sun
The debut of Western light artillery in Ukraine has resulted, according to debate participants, in a farce that even the most pessimistic script would not have signed off on: pieces arrive, deploy, and are destroyed before they can fire. A light howitzer without armor is what it is. As soon as the enemy locates the truck towing it, the entire system ceases to exist as a weapon system. It is not necessary to destroy the gun: disabling the vehicle leaves the material stuck in open field, unable to be dragged into cover by hand.
The narrative of resounding success clashes with the described scene: twisted pieces, an unhooked gun in firing position, and the enemy correcting fire with drones to finish off exactly what matters, the trucks. Without transport there is no ammunition, and without ammunition an M777 is expensive scrap with fewer wheels.
Why is a light howitzer so vulnerable at the front?
The logic is relentless and has nothing to do with tube quality. Towed artillery needs protection, and that provided by terrain or air cover does not exist in the required quantity. When the enemy has air superiority and the front is closed, any battery that emerges is exposed within minutes. Some argue these systems are worth for static defense lines; using them as attack spearheads is another matter.
Surplus material being dumped by tons has that profile: cheap, abundant, and disposable. The uncomfortable question is who pays the bill for what breaks and who replaces what is no longer useful even as spare parts.
F35 and Tomahawk: the air superiority that does not arrive
The leap to the sky is inevitable in any conversation about this war. Fifth-generation fighters and cruise missiles are speculated upon as if they were going to solve the air coverage problem. The problem is that a fighter of that price thrown into numerical inferiority and with hastily trained pilots is not a solution, it is a source of costly casualties.
The debate on the F35 has two well-defined sides. Some describe it as a networked weapons system capable of detecting before being detected and guiding missiles launched from remote platforms; others dismiss it as a mountain of money with dragged technical problems and poor cost-utility ratio compared to veteran and proven fighters. In between remains the disorienting data: the bulk of new generation Russian fighters barely exists in number, while Western aircraft are counted in hundreds.
Precision as excuse: seventies-era artillery against mobile targets
Here lies the technical knot that explains the disaster. Saturation artillery serves to batter an armored division broadly, where hitting is a matter of statistics. Against two trucks and three moving pieces, the fire calculation inherited from forty years ago becomes a lottery. If it hits, it is chance.
The contrast drawn is brutal: on one side, salvos raising earth next to the battery and leaving the bombardment almost in the river; on the other, drone fire correction and selective finishing. Guided ammunition has ceased to be a luxury and has become the difference between hitting the target and making noise.
The conclusion that imposes itself is uncomfortable for everyone: while material breaks faster than it is replaced, the war drags on by design. And if the real objective is to wear down the adversary, the wear has two directions. Forecast with reserves: the next batch of pieces will last somewhat longer if they arrive with adequate coverage and doctrine. If they arrive the same way, the result will be the same farce with a different serial number.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (65 replies).
A Rosstat data leak reveals 450,100 Russian military deaths by late August, averaging 100,000 annually. The searchable database aligns with independent estimates.