Ukraine counterattacks Bakhmut flanks, Russian sources say

Pro-Russian sources report Ukrainian counterattacks near Soledar and south of Bakhmut forced the withdrawal of two Russian brigades.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Ukraine advances on two Bakhmut flanks as Russia cedes ground, pro-Russian sources claim

Bakhmut did not fall. On May 11, 2023, for the first time in weeks, the front line moved opposite to Moscow's narrative. According to war correspondents trinc the Russian front and sources affiliated with the Wagner Group, Ukrainian forces launched counterattacks near Soledar and north of Bakhmut with units supported by armored groups of two or three tanks. Telegram channels close to the Kremlin described the maneuver with confusion: they did not expect exhausted forces to retain offensive capacity.

To the north, the Russian 4th Motorized Rifle Brigade reportedly abandoned its positions, according to pro-Russian sources linked to Wagner. To the south, the 3rd Assault Brigade Azov stormed the canal bridgehead and the Russian 72nd Mechanized Brigade withdrew, leaving behind, according to calculations circulating online, about two kilometers of terrain in a single day. This is not an encirclement. It is a change of hands that no one thought possible a week earlier.

From Soledar to the canal: which terrain has changed hands?

Accounts agree on the geometry. Pressure to the north, in the orbit of Soledar, and simultaneous push to the south, where the Ukrainian 30th Mechanized Brigade released footage of assaults on Russian trenches near Sakko i Vantsetti, in Donetsk province, and the 92nd Brigade cleared positions. With this path clear toward Krasna Hora, the tactical reading circulating is clear: if Ukraine reaches the hills of that locality, its position improves for continued pressure.

A less epic interpretation also emerges. Some recall that much of this area is gray zone, occupied by one side one day and the other the next, and that what truly matters is not the daily headline but subsequent consolidation. The real Russian defensive lines, they argue, are further back, and those have yet to be reached. The debate is significant: it determines whether May 11 marks a trend or just a fleeting headline.

Is Wagner withdrawing from Bakhmut?

Sources contradict each other, creating uncertainty. Some assume the northern flank withdrawal is real and confirmed. Others, citing Ukrainian media reporting US positions, maintain there are no signs of Wagner troop withdrawals from the city. In between, a well-known Russian military blogger acknowledged bad news from the Bakhmut zone and published a map showing lost positions on the flanks.

The noise has a specific origin: Wagner chief Prigozhin allegedly stated—according to thread participants—that a Russian brigade had fled, leading to headlines claiming Russia was abandoning Bakhmut. That is not the same thing. In the south, defense was held by the Russian 3rd Army Corps, hastily trained personnel recruited the previous summer, whose losses are now being covered by mobilized regiments, according to circulating analysis.

Prigozhin and the missing ammunition

The Wagner chief insisted in his daily reports: no ammunition despite prior instructions, and Bakhmut's flanks are at risk. He claims the city was necessary for the Russian army to regroup, though he does not clarify why supply was cut off. His warnings fit the withdrawal narrative, but do not prove it: he is an interested party discussing his position in the command dispute.

What the episode does provide is a snapshot of the cost. Capturing those two kilometers took Russian forces a month and, according to online calculations, resulted in around ten thousand casualties. Ukraine reportedly recovered them in an afternoon. These figures are independently unverified, but explain why confusion settled into channels that had previously declared Bakhmut finished.

Sakko i Vantsetti: the village named after anarchists

The curious detail of the day has an Italian name. One of the locations cited in advance reports, Sakko i Vantsetti, reproduces the Spanish version of Sacco y Vanzetti, the two anarchists executed in the United States. Soviet toponymy was not unfamiliar with such things, and the hamlet was named in their honor. Now it appears in military reports as just another label among brigade acronyms and coordinates.

With current momentum, pressure on Bakhmut's flanks could force Moscow to choose between holding the city or retreating to pre-war Donbas positions, an option already mentioned openly in analyses. If the impulse fades, everything will remain another gray zone. The count of two kilometers in a day, however, cannot be erased.



What is debated but not in the headlines

Out of focus is a data point conditioning all of the above: the spring Ukrainian counteroffensive, understood as a large-scale operation, had not begun according to several messages exchanged during those days. What moved was the front line, not the general plan. This distinction explains why the same day is read as a turning point or merely a skirmish, depending on who you ask.

Verification issues also remain. Videos of trench assaults and position clearing come from the involved brigades themselves, which does not invalidate them but nor does it make them neutral parties. Russian casualty figures in the sector, the actual state of the flanks, and the magnitude of the withdrawal are, as of this discussion, disputed material.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (105 replies).

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