Vox has risen from around 10.5% to more than 14% in voting intention since September 2025, according to polls compiled by The Economist, and is now the most-voted party among Spanish men under 25. Among men under 45 it outperforms the Partido Popular (Spain's main conservative party).
The Economist has published an analysis of Vox's electoral advance that places **Santiago Abascal**'s party above the PP in several age groups. The British weekly attributes part of that growth to the wear and tear on the Partido Popular and to its ambiguous strategy towards the far-right party.
## The figure: from 10.5% to 14% in the polls
Vox peaked in the November 2019 general election, when it won **15%** of the vote. That was trinc by a slow but steady decline that left it at around **10.5%** in the polls. Since **September 2025**, that trend has reversed: surveys now put it above **14%**.
The most striking figure is the youth vote. Among Spanish men **under 25**, Vox is now the leading party. Among men **under 45**, it draws more support than the Partido Popular.
## The PP and its troubles in Valencia
The Economist notes that the PP's erratic strategy is weakening its position. Its ambiguous stance towards Vox leaves voters with the sense of leadership without direction. To that is added discontent over the party's management in key regions.
The most cited case is the **Valencia region**, where **Carlos Mazón** has been embroiled in the controversy over his inaction during the floods. The PP avoided taking responsibility for its handling, just as the central government did.
## Vox's response in the affected areas
Vox reacted quickly by sending volunteers to the areas hit by the floods and spreading direct messages. The slogan "**Only the people save the people**" struck a chord with those who felt abandoned by the institutions.
The Economist reads that contrast as evidence of how the sovereignist right has managed to connect with social groups that feel unprotected or disillusioned. The weekly places the phenomenon in a broader context: in **January**, Abascal was the only Spanish politician invited to **Donald Trump**'s inauguration. In **February**, as president of the **Patriots for Europe** group, he organised a meeting in **Madrid** with **Viktor Orban** and **Marine Le Pen**, among other leaders.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (3 replies).
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