The omnibus decree fails, taking pensions and the IMV down with it
The omnibus decree raising pensions did not fail because of the pension increase. It collapsed due to the entire package attached to it. The Royal Decree-Law 9/2024, of December 23 bundled dozens of unrelated measures and fell due to the negative votes of the People's Party (PP), Vox, and Junts. Among those affected is a staggering figure: 12.5 million pensioners in a country of 47 million. And a coincidence that sums up the issue: each bloc claimed to defend seniors while voting to block the text that raised their income.
What measures did the omnibus decree include?
The text bundled into a single act the revaluation of 2.8% for contributory pensions and 9% for non-contributory pensions, an increase in the Minimum Vital Income (IMV)—cited as 9% in one version and nearly 3% in another—the suspension of evictions and foreclosures for vulnerable households without alternative housing until December 31, 2025, and the extension of discounts of up to 100% on land public transport for regular travelers until June 30, 2025.
That was the sweetener. The problem was the rest of the display. The legislation included a direct grant of 4,500,000 euros to the Autonomous City of Ceuta for the protection of unaccompanied migrant minors, a 16 million euro allocation described as the gift of a property to a Basque nationalist party, a new tax on large electricity companies, and a revaluation of urban land that would increase the cost of inheritances. Pieces from four different ministries tied together with a single knot.
Why did PP, Vox, and Junts vote against it?
The argument was identical across the three groups: an omnibus decree does not allow voting on each measure for what it is; it forces swallowing the entire package. Approving the pension increase also meant approving the discounts, subsidies, and taxes. Some describe this as outright legislative blackmail; others argue the instrument exists for emergencies and the law can be sliced later. Both are true, and that is the mess.
There was also talk that the opposition did not move until one of the Catalan formations announced its no. An uncomfortable reading for the Executive: it is claimed the government backed down and accepted processing the measures separately, interpreted as an admission that the problem was the wrapper, not the content. If confirmed, the "take-it-or-leave-it" tactic backfired on its designer.
The omnibus as a legislative technique, under suspicion
Beyond the specific case, criticism points to a method: using the urgency route to slip dozens of unrelated norms into a single text. The reproach does not distinguish administrations. Some recall that autonomous communities of different stripes have done the same, and others argue the resource has become normalized because no one can vote the package measure by measure without assuming the political cost of blocking popular items. With pensioners' income at stake, that cost is maximal.
How much does the pensioner vote weigh in Spain?
The figures used in the analysis are rough but eloquent. In the last general elections, the PP won 8 million votes and the PSOE 7.7 million out of a total of about 25 million voters. Of the 15 million shared by the two major parties, a very relevant part are pensioners, pre-retirees, and public employees eyeing retirement. Around 70% of the pensioner vote is concentrated in the bipartisanship, according to circulating calculations. Translated: whoever wins that block wins.
On the other side of the scale is sustainability. It is pointed out that two-thirds of public spending goes to pensions, with an effect on debt that cannot be sustained indefinitely. Those defending the system respond that comparing it to productive investment is misleading; those attacking it counter that squeezing workers and companies with taxes eventually dries up savings and investment. Neither side has yet proven their scenario is the one that will occur.
With 12.5 million pensioners and a system consuming two-thirds of public spending, any future adjustment will pass through the same knot: either approved piece by piece, or the rest of the legislation continues to be hidden under pensioners' income. It is likely the Executive will reassemble the text and try again. That this time it arrives without surprises inside is another matter.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (272 replies).
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