Scott Ritter: could the US face defeat in Iran?
Scott Ritter, a former UN weapons inspector, claims the US will be defeated in Iran. We look at the military deployment, the billion-dollar daily cost and the lessons.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Scott Ritter predicts US defeat in Iran: prophecy or wishful thinking?
When a former UN inspector like Scott Ritter announces the defeat of a hyperpower, it is not just another opinion: it is a line of analysis that deserves scrutiny. According to his reasoning, the United States has miscalculated its strength after deploying 4 ships and a submarine, expecting a quick war. The reality of Iran – with a cohesive army and a population that is not rising up – could turn the operation into a quagmire similar to Vietnam or Afghanistan.
The economic cost of a prolonged war
Estimates point to spending of one billion dollars a day. With an economy already showing signs of fatigue, sustaining the war effort for weeks or months would be unsustainable. On top of this is the risk that China will take advantage of the situation to erode the dollar's hegemony, as has already been suggested in analytical circles.
Defeat without invasion?
A war is lost when the objectives are not achieved. The USSR lost in Afghanistan without being invaded, just as the United States did in Vietnam. In Iran, the goal of regime change clashes with the lack of a viable alternative and with internal resistance. Against the official optimism, there are those who argue that Washington will present any outcome as a victory, but the numbers and history suggest otherwise.
Given these circumstances, Ritter's warning is not far-fetched. Time will tell whether he is right or whether the propaganda machine manages to dress up a failure, but the deployment and cost figures do not inspire confidence.
Related discussions in the forum
When a former UN inspector like Scott Ritter announces the defeat of a hyperpower, it is not just another opinion: it is a line of analysis that deserves scrutiny. According to his reasoning, the United States has miscalculated its strength after deploying 4 ships and a submarine, expecting a quick war. The reality of Iran – with a cohesive army and a population that is not rising up – could turn the operation into a quagmire similar to Vietnam or Afghanistan.
The economic cost of a prolonged war
Estimates point to spending of one billion dollars a day. With an economy already showing signs of fatigue, sustaining the war effort for weeks or months would be unsustainable. On top of this is the risk that China will take advantage of the situation to erode the dollar's hegemony, as has already been suggested in analytical circles.
Defeat without invasion?
A war is lost when the objectives are not achieved. The USSR lost in Afghanistan without being invaded, just as the United States did in Vietnam. In Iran, the goal of regime change clashes with the lack of a viable alternative and with internal resistance. Against the official optimism, there are those who argue that Washington will present any outcome as a victory, but the numbers and history suggest otherwise.
Given these circumstances, Ritter's warning is not far-fetched. Time will tell whether he is right or whether the propaganda machine manages to dress up a failure, but the deployment and cost figures do not inspire confidence.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (52 replies).
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