The US switches off Google in Europe: collapse or transition?
At a Spanish company with 20,000 users, if Google Suite and Oracle vanished overnight, all activity would grind to a halt. This example, drawn from real business life, illustrates the core of a debate that goes beyond technological panic: what would happen if the US decided to cut off Europe's digital supply?
The nightmare scenario: hard figures
The dependence is overwhelming. 95% of the world's servers run on Linux, but the ecosystem of applications, storage and cloud services is in the hands of American giants. AWS, Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure are the digital backbone of half of Europe. If Windows licences or Gmail support were cut off, the impact would be immediate on banks, hospitals and public administrations that have outsourced their entire infrastructure to the American cloud. One user claimed to have gone 15 years without using Google, but the reality is that most Europeans could not escape the initial chaos.
Technical alternatives: the myth of a quick transition
Against the catastrophism, some argue that Europe could adapt within weeks. Linux and free software offer a solid foundation, and systems like Galileo or Mapi have been running for decades. Some even point out that China would provide replacement services almost immediately. However, the transition is not trivial: recovering data hosted in American suites and training millions of users would take months. The key is not technical, but a matter of political will and management capacity.
The real bottleneck: the political class
The debate reveals a bitter consensus: the biggest obstacle is not the lack of alternative technologies, but the incompetence and corruption of Europe's elites. While countries like China have managed to build their own technological infrastructure, the EU keeps outsourcing its digital sovereignty for convenience. The recent open letter from more than 90 European companies demanding urgent measures to achieve digital sovereignty is a sign that the problem is recognised, but solutions are conspicuously absent.
The question left hanging is whether Europe will wake up in time. The real US sanctions against judges of the International Incivil Court, who lost access to services like Netflix and Google, show that the threat is not theoretical. For now, the continent remains, as one participant quipped, a theme park for the big American tech companies.
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