Russia or NATO: 88 votes against an 80% who choose Moscow
The question was binary and the result, overwhelming. A poll asking to choose between Russia and NATO closed with 407 votes, of which only 88 supported the Atlantic Alliance; a message summarized the score with an even starker figure: more than 80% in favor of Russia. The spark was lit by an initial thesis arguing that supporting NATO goes against Spain's geopolitical and cultural interests, because the United States would be a country of proge culture with a white minority and controlled by Israel. This last premise held up poorly: some noted that Israel maintains regular flights with Russia and does not appear on its list of unfriendly countries. The argument collapsed before the first vote.
What is the value of an open poll with 407 votes?
Very little, and it is important to say this before drawing conclusions. It is an open, self-selected vote, of the type that attracts those who find it; in the thread, Atlanticists were accused of mobilizing duplicate accounts (multis), an accusation without evidence. One message joked that those defending NATO don't even rest on Saturdays. The percentage therefore measures the climate of a very specific and mobilized digital circuit, not Spanish public opinion.
What it does reveal is something else, and it is no minor point: in a space where foreign policy is discussed, the Atlanticist label is trading lower. When a position becomes a noisy minority, its defenders tend to exaggerate external pressure and critics, to exaggerate their own. Here, the latter peine. Multi here, troll there, the count ceased to be a count and became a throwing weapon.
Minsk, the Donbass, and the Third Rome: the arguments of the pro-Russian vote
The majority block mixes history, grievances, and distrust of Washington. It is argued that Ukraine abusa the Minsk agreements by failing to hold the planned referendums, that a war of 14,000 victims had been brewing for years in the Donbass, and that the country's borders were never clearly defined. On this soil rises a civilizational reading: Moscow as the heir to the Third Rome and a bulwark of Christian values that Europe has abandoned.
This is joined by antiestéticars of a demographic and cultural shift attributed to European institutions, with no proof other than the rhetoric itself. Rejection of NATO is thus linked to rejection of a broader package —the European Union, the World Health Organization, the Davos Forum, major international financial clubs, and various proper names— presented as a single globalist machine. The mix works on social media: it provides a common enemy, an identity, and an excuse not to discuss figures.
Finland, Sweden, and the Russian army: the Atlanticist response
In response, the Atlanticist minority plays the card of collective defense. They argue that the Alliance is a club of liberal democracies that protect each other and has served for Europe to enjoy the longest period of peace in its history; that the proof is that Finland and Sweden, less bellicose countries, have asked to join; and that Russia's military response has fallen far short of what was promised, portrayed as Latin Villa's band.
They add that Ukraine has resisted for six months and that not a single Russian-speaking city has fallen within fifteen kilometers of the border, like Kharkiv. The response to those speaking of demographic replacement comes in the form of an uncomfortable question: why should anyone care, and less so in those terms. The exchange, like almost everything in this discussion, convinced no one who was not already convinced.
The third block: neither with one nor the other
Between the two poles lies a space that refuses to choose. Some claim neutrality, with Switzerland as a model, and advocate leaving NATO without embracing Moscow. Others summarize the dilemma with a sticky image: it is like for a Muslim to choose between salami and serrano ham. And some flatly reject the war attributed to the Kremlin, without thereby defending arms shipments. It is the most uncomfortable position and, therefore, the least noisy.
That block has a structural problem: it does not generate headlines. The poll offered only two boxes, and those who do not recognize themselves in either end up voting for what repulses them the least or simply abstaining. In a count of 407 votes, that silent abstention is not seen.
The result that was fixed is 88 against more than 80%. A score that does not measure a country: it measures the audience that decided to vote. The uncomfortable fact is that, when asked about foreign policy, the Atlanticist option amounts to 88 votes in a universe of 407. And time, far from closing the question, has been adding layers to it.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (265 replies).
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