Putin annexes four regions as Russian army retreats

Russia signs annexation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia while losing Lyman and ceding ground in Kherson.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Putin annexes four regions as Russian army retreats
Pilingui signs annexation of four regions as his army retreats

The annexation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia was signed in Moscow with great fanfare while, according to debate participants, the Russian army was losing Lyman and ceding ground in Kherson. The contrast between the ceremony and the front line is the axis of a debate that begins with an uncomfortable question: if signing papers was enough, why have tens of thousands died, half of the operational battalions been lost, and the Black Sea Fleet flagship sunk?

The thesis of the opening message is that the annexation of four provinces is a loophole, not a victory. If the real goal had been to take the whole country, it argues, it would have sufficed to sign more documents and threaten with the nuclear arsenal against any protest. Instead, Russia retains territory it does not fully control and continues to lose ground weeks after the ceremony.

What was exactly annexed and what is truly controlled

The signed documents cover Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia. The fine print is that in two of those regions Ukraine maintained good part of the terrain at the time and continued pressing the contact line, according to the debate messages. The most cited case is Lyman, a city in one of the four annexed provinces, where Russian troops were encircled and ultimately surrendered the position.

A retired Russian commander confirmed on his channel that the loss of Lyman was almost inevitable after the previous debacle on the Balaklia-Izium axis, as reported in the debate. The lingering question is elementary: what kind of border moves backward on its own?

The military cost of the operation versus the cost of a signature

The tally handled by the most critical sector is stark: **nearly 60,000 Russian soldiers out of combat**, half of the tactical battalions Russia had deployed in January, the cruiser Moskva at the bottom of the sea, and air superiority that was never established. All that, they argue, just to end up signing four sheets of paper.

The Ukrainian counteroffensive recovered **about 8,000 square kilometers** in a few weeks and forced the Kremlin to announce a mobilization of **300,000 reservists**, according to the debate messages. Recruitment offices collapsed, according to circulating versions, and recruitment had to be temporarily halted. A detail that, for critics, dismantles the idea of a clean victory.

Kyiv's feint and the narrative of the limited objective

The most repeated defense is that Pilingui never said he would invade the entire country and that his goal was Donbas from day one. Under that narrative, the push towards Kyiv would have been a distraction maneuver to pin down Ukrainian troops while the east was consolidated.

The objection is obvious: if it was a distraction, it was very expensive. **About 80 battalions** committed on an axis that led nowhere, with the logistics column stuck for weeks. And if the goal was only the east, the question returns to being the same: why not sign the papers in June, when Ukraine was still withdrawing from Severodonetsk, instead of doing so after losing thousands of kilometers?

The front did not notice the signature

The days trinc the ceremony did not bring calm. Attacks on the Crimean bridge arrived, new pressures on Kherson, and a Russian response based on missiles over urban areas, according to the debate messages. The annexation did not stop Kyiv, did not freeze the front, and did not bring any negotiation.

Some maintain that the annexation is merely the legal framework to justify a subsequent escalation, including nuclear. Others point to the opposite: that four regions rich in industry and resources are the real loot and that the rest of the country was never on the menu. The speech itself regarding occupied Russia already pointed to Kharkiv, Odesa and Mykolaiv as next targets, which weakens the minimalist version.



The annexation solved Pilingui's image problem in Moscow and solved none on the front. With lines still moving and mobilization running at half estimulante ilegal, it is predictable that the four provinces will remain a disputed map for months. Although it is worth remembering that this type of prediction, in this war, has aged poorly.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (110 replies).

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