Gold at $35,000 by 2035: Kiyosaki's bet that divides investors
On June 22, 2026, gold was trading at around $4,182 per ounce. That same month, Robert Kiyosaki, the guru behind "Rich Dad, Poor Dad", dropped his latest bombshell prediction: the precious metal will hit $35,000 in 2035. The figure, spread across his social media, has ignited a debate between skeptical investors and true believers.
From $4,182 to $35,000: what math supports it?
For gold to multiply its value by 8.4 in nine and a half years, it would need a compound nominal return of 25% per year. Not impossible on paper, but as a detailed analysis that has been circulating points out, such an appreciation would require extraordinary monetary depreciation, a global systemic crisis, or a radical shift in demand for the metal. If the engine were massive inflation, those $35,000 nominal dollars would not represent the purchasing power we imagine today. The prediction also omits any probability distribution — a Kiyosaki classic, always offering the spectacular number without the context that would validate it.
The tug-of-war between gold, AI and space
The debate doesn't stop at simple optimism. One school of thought argues that all the liquidity in the system will be absorbed over the coming decades by artificial intelligence and space exploration, two sectors that devour capital. The imminent IPOs of OpenAI and Anthropic — expected in the fall of 2026 — would drain resources, and gold and bitcoin would suffer. On the other side, some argue the AI bubble will burst like the dot-coms, that retail investors will become disillusioned, and that capital will return to traditional safe havens. "When the AI bubble bursts, everything would go back to being the same for gold," sums up one of the most skeptical voices toward the tech narrative.
Bitcoin: the new digital gold or smoke and mirrors?
The contrast with bitcoin is inevitable. While some see the cryptocurrency as a con, others place it as the true alternative to fiat money. If gold were to reach $35,000, bitcoin — according to one estimate — could soar to several million euros. But that relationship isn't direct: when geopolitics calms down and the stock market performs, both assets lose their appeal. And some recall that gold already traded sideways for twenty years (the 80s and 90s) without recovering.
Kiyosaki's controversial legacy
Despite skepticism about his prophecies, Kiyosaki's method for finding real estate bargains — making offers 30% to 50% below market price on a sample of at least one hundred properties — has delivered results, according to some trinc. A real case: an apartment appraised at $115,000 closed at $80,000 after an initial offer of $70,000. Not every market allows this, but the anecdote shows the guru isn't pure smoke, even if his gold prediction seems more like a shot in the dark than an investment guide.
The open question nobody closes
Is a $35,000 scenario possible? The numbers say yes, mathematically. But it would take a combination of monetary catastrophe and global panic that nobody wants. The conditions that took gold from $1,000 to $3,600 in fifteen years — real inflation, central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions — have changed. Kiyosaki's prediction, like so many others, rests on the void of a probability distribution he never publishes.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (56 replies).
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