Canned Mackerel as a Survival Asset

Mackerel at €0.55 and sardines at €0.41: canned food as a refuge asset and barter currency in crisis scenarios.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Canned Mackerel as a Survival Asset
Canned mackerel as a safe haven against gold and silver

Stockpiling canned fish can be an investment strategy. The premise is not metaphorical: boxes of 50 individual cans that vanish from supermarkets upon restocking, mackerel at €0.55 per unit, and store-brand sardines at €0.41 with expiry dates in 2026. Two qualities, two purposes. The good ones for your own table; the cheap ones for trade when things get tough.

The underlying thesis argues that when there is no food left, canned goods will outperform any metal. There is an uncomfortable corollary for the classic saver: those who buy gold and silver without a biscuit at home will end up trading them for a tin that costs half a euro today.

From cheap tins to ingots: the barter thesis

The reasoning relies on simple arithmetic. Spending €1,000 today on food—a figure that should not shock us—could turn into €20,000 if the scenario unfolds. If it does not, you still have a pantry bought at shelf prices. The purchase is spread across several properties: the declared goal is to accumulate six months of food in each hideout, then extend to one year.

Segmentation by quality has commercial logic. Better cans are reserved for personal consumption; mediocre ones for bartering. The buyer identifies three types of losers in this market: those accumulating metals without food reserves, those keeping grandma's jewelry but lacking even a biscuit, and those who planned nothing. That is where real money is made, they say.

Do canned goods expire? The sardine that lasted seven years

The printed date raises reasonable doubts. US Food and Drug Administration studies are cited, suggesting canned goods remain safe for up to 100 years, provided the container has no leaks or damage. A reference case involves a German pharmacist who found a 1948 lard tin in his home in 2012 and handed it to health authorities.

More useful is the domestic test. An olive oil sardine tin expired in late 2013 was peine seven years later, concluding it was "excellent." The warning accompanying the experiment: if the tin is bulging, the seal failed and it must be discarded; external rust, however, is not a problem. Olive oil, it is insisted, improves the flavor of preserved fish over time.

Red peppers, sauerkraut, and honey: the basket that prevents scurvy

Canned fish alone is insufficient, as the conversation quickly demonstrates. Legumes appear as an alternative due to pure boredom: after five years of apocalyptic scenarios, survivors will be sick of canned fish and pay well for tomato spaghetti or sausage in a jar. Condensed milk and single-serve coffee complete the list of long-lasting treats.

Against scurvy, there are concrete answers. 60 grams of red pepper cover the daily recommended vitamin C intake, more than double what oranges, strawberries, or kiwis provide, and are available in canned form. Sauerkraut—fermented cabbage—was used by sailors for the same reason. Honey and bee pollen are defended as energy reserves with almost no expiration, alongside extra virgin olive oil, which one user claims to have liters of for five or six years.

Fine details concern dental health and micronutrients: vitamin D3 supplements for sunless months, bulk-bought multivitamins, and the warning that excessive sweets, without a dentist available, result in cavities.

Shotguns, vests, and the price of being right

The most repeated objection is not dietary, but physical. Hoarding is useless if you cannot protect it, leading to defensive reasoning: questions about shotguns, a custom-sized bulletproof vest purchase, and acknowledgment of having weapons "totally legally," though specifics are omitted. Discretion, in this plan, is also a form of security.

The second front is logistical. Distributing stock across multiple locations protects against single-point loss but multiplies purchases. Those starting with mackerel ended up adding meatballs, squid, mussels, partridge, fruit in syrup, and Polish canned meat with a 2022 expiry, tested in slices like hamburgers.

A plan its author withdraws whenever he wants

The detail that changes everything remains. The same message describing the operation ends by clarifying it was all fiction, written in advance "in case the minister of the day" comes to claim the reserve tins. In other words: if the scenario happens, the author is right and won't say so. If it doesn't, they have a pantry. Distrust plans that win in every branch, even if only by denying them afterwards.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (133 replies).

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