Atari: The 2021 penny stock that promised 10x returns before crashing 60%

In April 2021, Atari traded at €0.90 with 200 million shares, a Decentraland crypto casino, and a €2 price target. The stock then plummeted...

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Atari: The 2021 penny stock that promised 10x returns before crashing 60%
Atari returns to markets at €0.90 with a crypto casino

How much is a brand worth that served as the gateway to video games for an entire generation? In April 2021, the market responded with an awkward figure: Atari was trading at €0.90 on the Paris Stock Exchange under the ticker $ATA, just two weeks after landing on Trading 212, with 200 million shares in circulation —700 million fewer than Tesla. The narrative accompanying the price was far more ambitious than the price itself: a company stabilized after years of bankruptcy, growing revenue, a trending NFT, a virtual cryptocurrency casino, and a new console on the way. On paper, everything was set for a massive breakout.

From bankruptcy to a rebranded name: 22 employees and a big legacy

Years earlier, the company had been literally bankrupt. It was bought by a French investor, stabilized as best as possible, and pivoted toward markets where the name carries more weight than manufacturing: licensing, video games, hotels, and crypto assets. The most common criticism among skeptics could be summed up in one sentence: a company with 22 employees and no products or services. Given that size, what is trading is not a factory, but a nostalgic brand with a tiny balance sheet and disproportionate ambition. The fundamental question was not how much Atari was worth, but how much someone was willing to pay just to remember it.

NFTs, Decentraland casino, and console games: the plans

The schedule of catalysts was packed. On April 8, 2021, the company announced it would return to developing games for consoles and PC. By April 28 of that same month, the launch of a virtual casino in Decentraland—the crypto world where digital plots are bought to set up businesses—was set. Expectations surrounding that date were high: if it went well, the stock was going to celebrate. Add to that an NFT that was generating significant buzz on social media. Skepticism, naturally, was met with jokes: they’re going to release multiplayer Pong, and in 4K.

€0.90 vs €2: the target price from Nordic analysts

There was a dual listing on the table that confused many: $ATA on the Paris Stock Exchange and $PONGF on the US OTC market. The same asset, two currencies, and two prices moving in tandem around $1.14 and €0.90. Degiro only showed the French listing; Trading 212 offered the American one commission-free. The star bullish argument was a price target: a group of Nordic analysts placed the real value at €2 when it was trading at €0.90. The comparison used to justify it had its apparent logic: if Zynga had a €11 billion market cap, why not Atari, with an even lower market capitalization?

Who entered, how much, and with what expectations

The buyer profile was varied. Some approached out of nostalgia—the childhood 2600—while others peine a brokerage account just to test with a small position. More serious orders also appeared: 300 shares on one side, 480 on the other, and some uncomfortable questions about whether it was wise to put €20,000 into such a stock. The answer to that doubt reassured no one: for some, €20,000 is a fortune, and for others, it is pocket change; in an asset with these characteristics, the line between diversifying and gambling depends on the size of the account, not the analysis. People openly asked for a fundamental study to decide whether to hold the position or liquidate as soon as it gained anything. No one did.

The broker's fine print: commissions, IBANs, and tickers

Before discussing the company, let's look at the operations. A novice investor peine an account with Degiro to escape traditional banking fees and hit the usual labyrinth: a transfer to a Dutch IBAN that no longer appeared when the email with the operational account arrived, replaced by a German IBAN. The €300 sent remained in limbo while the balance showed zero. A minor anecdote, but illustrative of the audience approaching the stock: people who understand trading, but not necessarily the intricacies of a foreign broker, discovering frictions just as they have already committed the money.

From penny stock hype to buried cartridges: the crash

The collapse arrived before the plans. The stock slid to €0.60, 60% below the price at which many had entered. An honest forecast had already been left by someone at the beginning: it can do a 10x and lose 70% of its value in a heartbeat. The previous rise, driven by high volume, was read as a guarantee until it stopped being one. The humor held up better than the stock price: it seems Atari is more buried than the E.T. cartridges in the desert. Later, a 10% rebound arrived along with the old slogan, to the moon. The desert, meanwhile, remained the same.

The journey illustrates what almost no one discusses: a massive name, the ability to generate headlines, and a minimal structure. Growing revenue and a small market cap are, according to penny stock manuals, an opportunity. Also a trap. Between €0.90 and €0.60 sat the same asset, the same 22 employees, and the same desire for the announcement to arrive before the hangover.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (103 replies).

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