Abascal heads to Waterloo: the price of a deal with Junts against Sánchez
Parliamentary arithmetic is pushing Vox into talks with Junts. Defending the self-employed could serve as an economic bridge in a deal that divides the Spanish right.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Abascal's economic dilemma: a deal with Junts or staying in opposition
The legislative term is on its last legs and the numbers don't add up. With the current arithmetic in the Spanish Congress, only an alliance between the constitutionalist right and the pro-independence Junts could deliver a no-confidence vote against Sánchez. The problem is that such an alliance forces Santiago Abascal to swallow his anti-nationalist rhetoric and travel to Waterloo to negotiate with Carles Puigdemont, who is on the run from justice. The economic question is: is it worth it?
The self-employed paradox
Those in favour of the deal point out that Junts, in its parliamentary work, has backed measures favourable to the self-employed and small businesses, a key electorate for both Vox and Junts. Their affinity on concrete economic policies, such as tax cuts and labour market flexibility, could be the fig leaf for a state-level pact that goes beyond mere arithmetic.
The image cost
But a photo of Abascal with Puigdemont in Waterloo would be an earthquake within his ranks. Vox's hardline base considers the pro-independence camp "traitors" and sees the mere negotiation as an unacceptable concession. The question the market is asking is whether the political stability a right-wing government would bring outweighs the ideological wear and tear. For now, Abascal says nothing. The clock is ticking.
Related debates in the forum
The legislative term is on its last legs and the numbers don't add up. With the current arithmetic in the Spanish Congress, only an alliance between the constitutionalist right and the pro-independence Junts could deliver a no-confidence vote against Sánchez. The problem is that such an alliance forces Santiago Abascal to swallow his anti-nationalist rhetoric and travel to Waterloo to negotiate with Carles Puigdemont, who is on the run from justice. The economic question is: is it worth it?
The self-employed paradox
Those in favour of the deal point out that Junts, in its parliamentary work, has backed measures favourable to the self-employed and small businesses, a key electorate for both Vox and Junts. Their affinity on concrete economic policies, such as tax cuts and labour market flexibility, could be the fig leaf for a state-level pact that goes beyond mere arithmetic.
The image cost
But a photo of Abascal with Puigdemont in Waterloo would be an earthquake within his ranks. Vox's hardline base considers the pro-independence camp "traitors" and sees the mere negotiation as an unacceptable concession. The question the market is asking is whether the political stability a right-wing government would bring outweighs the ideological wear and tear. For now, Abascal says nothing. The clock is ticking.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (19 replies).
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