*Tema mítico* : (Hilo oficial) Plan de rescate EEUU. Análisis a fondo de la situación. Cárpatos

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Trichet da la bienvenida a las medidas aprobadas por el Gobierno de EEUU | Economía

Trichet da la bienvenida a las medidas aprobadas por el Gobierno de EEUU
19/09/2008 - 19:34
- Noticias EFE

Fráncfort (Alemania), 19 sep (EFE).- El presidente del Banco Central Europeo (BCE), Jean-Claude Trichet, dio hoy la bienvenida a las medidas aprobadas por el Gobierno estadounidense para estabilizar el sistema financiero.

Trichet dijo en un acto en Wiesbaden (oeste) que "celebramos lo que se ha anunciado ahí (EEUU)".

El secretario del Tesoro estadounidense, Henry Paulson, dijo que el Gobierno gastará "cientos de miles de millones de dólares" en una intervención a gran escala en los mercados para responder a la crisis financiera.

Paulson anunció que la administración elevará su participación en el mercado inmobiliario, que considera la raíz de los problemas financieros de EEUU.
 

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Bloomberg.com: Worldwide

.S. Debt May Grow $1 Trillion on Rescue, Barclays' Pond Says

By Sandra Hernandez

Sept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. may have to borrow an extra $700 billion to $1 trillion to fund the biggest rescue of the financial system since the Great Depression, according to Barclays Capital Inc.'s Michael Pond.

Federal takeovers of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and American International Group Inc.; the central bank's expansion of lending to financial firms; and a slowing economy will add $455 billion to the Treasury's borrowing needs, the New York-based interest-rate strategist estimated. Pond said Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to rid banks of ``hundreds of billions'' of troubled assets would bring the amount to $700 billion assuming the plan costs $200 billion.

``We could easily add up to an additional trillion to the outstanding Treasury debt just from the initiatives announced over the past couple of weeks,'' said Pond, ranked the best Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities analyst in 2008 by Institutional Investor magazine.

The government's liabilities swelled in past weeks as policy makers sought to arrest a growing financial crisis by taking over financial institutions threatened by a shortage of capital.

The Treasury on Sept. 7 took over mortgage-finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and said it would buy mortgage-backed debt in the open market. The Fed this week boosted its Treasury auctions to bond dealers by $25 billion, loaned $85 billion to the insurer AIG, and quadrupled the amount of dollars foreign central banks can auction to $247 billion. Paulson today said the government will buy illiquid assets from banks' balance sheets and insure money-market mutual fund holdings.

Deficit Widens

``The odds of the deficit becoming enormous are certainly there,'' said Nils Overdahl, a bond fund manager in Bethesda, Maryland, at New Century Advisors, which oversees $500 million. ```I suspect you will see issuance at a variety of maturities.''

The deficit will likely widen to $650 billion in fiscal 2009 because of the U.S. rescue of Fannie and Freddie, analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. wrote in a Sept. 12 report.

Over the next decade, the gap between spending and receipts will swell to $5.3 trillion, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts wrote Sept. 10, revising a previous forecast of $3.6 trillion. The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office forecast a record $438 billion deficit for 2009 on Sept. 9.

``The deficit will soar to enormous proportions,'' said Lou Crandall, the chief economist at Wrightson ICAP LLC in Jersey City, New Jersey. ``Even before this week's events, estimates based on visible factors were pointing to a deficit above $500 billion next year, with the prospect of billions of mortgage- backed securities on top of that.''

To contact the reporters on this story: Sandra Hernandez in New York at shernandez4@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: September 19, 2008 13:40 EDT
 

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Bloomberg.com: Worldwide

John Bogle Says U.S. Government Seems `Punch Drunk' (Update2)

By Nick Baker

Sept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- John Bogle, who created the $106 billion Vanguard 500 Index Fund in 1976, said the U.S. government is ``punch drunk'' with proposals to rescue the financial system.

``We're playing a game of casino capitalism, interfering with the way the market is working,'' Bogle, 79, said in a telephone interview today from Valley Forge, Pennsylvania. ``The government seems punch drunk. It doesn't seem systematic.''

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke proposed removing troubled assets from banks' balance sheets last night, while the Securities and Exchange Commission temporarily banned short sales of financial firms. The plans amowed the government takeover this week of American International Group Inc., the biggest U.S. insurer, and its bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the largest mortgage financiers, two weeks ago.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rallied as much as 4.8 percent after yesterday's 4.3 percent rebound from the lowest level since 2005. The gains helped send the MSCI World Index of shares in 23 developed nations to the steepest two-day surge since records begin in 1970.

``I'm obviously in the minority,'' Bogle said.

Byron Wien, the 75-year-old chief investment strategist at hedge fund Pequot Capital Management Inc., said the policy makers are taking the correct approach.

Wien Disagrees

``The most important thing that Henry Paulson and the federal government could do is to keep the economy from slipping into a deep recession,'' Wien, formerly an investment strategist at New York-based Morgan Stanley, said during a Bloomberg Television interview from Paris. ``The next up is to restore stability in the financial markets.''

The U.S. stock market has gained or lost more than $500 billion in value on four of the past five days, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

``Believe me, the value of American business doesn't change that much in a day,'' said Bogle, named one of the industry's four ``Giants of the 20th Century'' by Fortune magazine in 1999.

Bogle, who retired from Vanguard Group Inc. in 1999, said he hasn't changed his personal asset-allocation target -- 35 percent in stocks and 65 percent in bonds -- since 2000. Because of price fluctuations, he currently has about 30 percent in stocks and 70 percent in bonds.

The S&P 500 jumped 6.7 percent from the low to its high yesterday, the biggest intraday swing since July 2002, according to Bloomberg data.

``We're in the most speculative market I've seen,'' said Bogle, who was born five months before the stock-market crash of 1929. ``We seem to be in the depths of despair one moment, and the heights of optimism the next.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Nick Baker in New York at nbaker7@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: September 19, 2008 12:43 EDT
 

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Bloomberg.com: Worldwide

McCain Blasts `Lax' Rules, Obama Backs Bush Plans (Update1)

By Hans Nichols and Kim Chipman

Sept. 19 (Bloomberg) -- John McCain condemned ``lax'' regulation and urged the Federal Reserve to ``get out of the business of bailouts,'' as his Democratic presidential rival Barack Obama supported Bush administration plans to resolve the worst U.S. financial crisis since the Great Depression.

While backing efforts by the Fed and the U.S. Treasury to ease turmoil on Wall Street, Obama said he will hold off on crafting his own plan. Obama, who consulted today with top economic advisers, including billionaire investor Warren Buffett, is urging Democrats and Republicans to work out a proposal that protects working Americans.

``We can't only have a plan for Wall Street,'' Obama said amowing his meeting today in Coral Gables, Florida. ``We must also help Main Street.''

Obama gained in the polls this week as the global financial crisis cost investors more than $3 trillion in market value and the focus of the presidential campaign shifted to the economy.

McCain, speaking today in Green Bay, Wisconsin, criticized regulators who, he said, have been ``egregiously lax'' in protecting the American public.

`The Federal Reserve should get back to its core business of responsibly managing our money supply and inflation,'' he said. That would lead to a strong dollar, to reduced energy and food prices ``and get this economy moving again,'' he said.

Cox Role

He expanded on his call yesterday for the firing of President George W. Bush's chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Christopher Cox.

McCain proposed creation of a Mortgage and Financial Institutions Trust to ease the crisis. The agency, to be housed within the Treasury Department, would identify troubled institutions and strengthen them before they become insolvent, the McCain campaign said.

Obama, who seeks to secure a stronghold on the economy as a campaign issue, met this morning with senior economic advisers including former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin and former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker. Buffett, chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., and one-time Treasury chief Paul O'Neill participated by telephone.

Obama said he ``fully supports'' Paulson's and Bernanke's push to work with Congress to work out a bipartisan proposal to calm the economic turmoil.

`Settle Down'

Volatile financial markets should ``settle down'' as long as the Fed and Treasury are given enough authority to restore stability and make sure that taxpayer dollars aren't being used as a ``bailout,'' the Democratic nominee said at a news conference amowing the meeting.

``I'm glad that our government's moving so quickly in addressing the crisis that threatens some of our biggest banks and corporations,'' he said. ``But a similar crisis has threatened families, workers and homeowners for months and months, and Washington has done far too little to help.''

Obama, who blames the Bush administration for failing to head off the crisis, called yesterday for new legislation to infuse the financial system with capital, provide liquidity to the markets, and help protect people from losing their homes.

Paulson and Bernanke outlined to congressional leaders yesterday a plan to move troubled assets from the balance sheets of U.S. financial firms into a new government institution. Obama spoke by phone with both men yesterday.

``I have asked my economic team to refrain from presenting a more detailed blueprint of how an immediate plan might be structured until the Treasury and Federal Reserve have the opportunity to present their proposal,'' Obama said today in a statement.

The first-term Illinois senator said he is still reviewing emerging details of the proposal.

Economic Advisers

Obama had a 5-point lead over McCain, according to a CBS News/New York Times poll conducted Sept. 12-16. McCain, a senator from Arizona, had a 2 percentage point lead among registered voters in a CBS News poll released on Sept. 8, just after the Republican National Convention, CBS said.

Obama's earlier lead had evaporated as McCain made Alaska Governor Sarah Palin his vice presidential pick and the Republicans held their national convention in St. Paul, Minnesota, early this month.

To contact the reporter on this story: Kim Chipman in Coral Gables, Florida, at kchipman@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: September 19, 2008 14:05 EDT
 

imyourend

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YO lo unico que saco en claro de esta semana es que el modelo actual del capitalismo y el libre mercado han muerto.
 

APRENDIZ DE BRUJO.

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Merece la pena echarle un vistazo al análisis de Naked Capitalism sobre los potenciales efectos negativos indeseados de la prohibición de ponerse corto.

Joer, resulta que las posiciones en corto ¡también son activos para ciertas entidades! Según éste análisis muchos tratantes de negocios y fondos de inversión libre (Hedge Funds) se pueden ir al garete.

Que va ya se han preocupado ellos de comprar antes que les pille el toro, de ahi las subidas vertiginosas.
 

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demasiado cerca
empiezan los anàlisis

En TV3, el economista Xavier Sala-Martin ha intervenido muy brevemente, para puntualizar que no acaba de comprender estas medidas (seguro que lo sabe, pero no lo expresa). El caso es que su argumento, en tono perplejo ha sido que es sencillo: quien corre el riesgo, si pierde, tiene que pagar, y que el estado salga al rescate, supone un riesgo de retroalimentación de la burbuja gravísimo. La impresión era de que se han gastado el último cartucho.
Ha sido muy corto, demasiado, pero en las otras cadenas el análisis ha sido inexistente. No lo entiendo, me esperaba una lluvia de analistas o incluso algún especial, pero nada. He tenido que acudir a las cadenas extranjeras para esto.
¿Cuanto van a tardar los brillantes cerebros de este país en reaccionar?
 

azkunaveteya

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yo no me creo este subidon por la noticia... aun, pero me parece que lo que si veo es que el dinero ayuda al dinero
 
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Algunos analistas (literatos económicos) en los mass americanos están empezando a decir que la Ford y la GM son también "too big to fall". Creo que veremos (pagaremos) más rescates (bail out). Los pepitos que consigan resistir a las primeras oleadas de los tipos de interés, podrían ver llegar al séptimo de inflacionería al rescate.
 
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APRENDIZ DE BRUJO.

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En TV3, el economista Xavier Sala-Martin ha intervenido muy brevemente, para puntualizar que no acaba de comprender estas medidas (seguro que lo sabe, pero no lo expresa). El caso es que su argumento, en tono perplejo ha sido que es sencillo: quien corre el riesgo, si pierde, tiene que pagar, y que el estado salga al rescate, supone un riesgo de retroalimentación de la burbuja gravísimo. La impresión era de que se han gastado el último cartucho.
Ha sido muy corto, demasiado, pero en las otras cadenas el análisis ha sido inexistente. No lo entiendo, me esperaba una lluvia de analistas o incluso algún especial, pero nada. He tenido que acudir a las cadenas extranjeras para esto.
¿Cuanto van a tardar los brillantes cerebros de este país en reaccionar?

Otro chuleta liberal que se ha comido los mocos, no querias liberlismo, toma economia americana, que si es muy buena... Otro que se masturba con el libre mercado que pone cara de circunstancias.

Que se compre la americana estampada con dolares de los grandes con la cara de hommer simpson que vale mas que la del Adams.