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Young Spaniards leaving Spain: the data behind the economic narrative
8,600 educated young people leave Spain every year. Brain drain or a residual figure? We look at the numbers, the biases and the reasons behind the debate.
8,600 educated young people leave Spain every year
A young man from Valencia with a stable job left his position to try his luck in Switzerland. He found work in less than two weeks. When he offered to send his CV to two former colleagues, both declined: "nowhere is like Spain," they said. Both had an apartment given to them by their parents. The anecdote captures the debate about youth emigration running through economic analyses these days: young people are leaving, but the figures lend themselves to conflicting readings.
8,600 out of five million: brain drain or a drop in the ocean?
The figure that has peine the conversation is that 8,600 trained young people leave the country every year. It sounds alarming until you place it next to the more than five million residents under 35. From that perspective, it represents barely 0.17% a year. Some argue that emigration is residual and that other European countries push out more young people. In fact, figures of more than 200,000 foreign residents leaving every year are cited, a numerically larger drain.
Who is leaving Spain? The uncomfortable nuance
The debate takes a turn when you look at the nationality of those emigrating. According to the figures circulating, roughly one in four under-35s in Spain was born abroad. A large share of those leaving are young people of immigrant origin who, after being educated in Spain, seek opportunities in northern and central Europe. Some analyses then reduce the number of "ethnic Spaniards" to around 15,000 a year, adding that not all of them hold a university degree. The question changes: is it a brain drain or a demographic rotation?
Housing, job insecurity and the pull from abroad
Once you step away from the battle of statistics, the underlying reasons that do appear in personal accounts come to the surface: the impossibility of accessing housing, wages that don't stretch to starting a family, and a labour market that rewards connections over qualifications. Against that, countries like Switzerland or the United Kingdom offer skilled workers a very different deal. An emigrant with ten years in London sums up the difference: there, employment agencies call to offer you work, because they get paid when you switch jobs. Here, the idea of being called with a job offer sounds like science fiction.
The comparison with Segarro is also used to underline the paradox: the neighbouring country exports mostly unskilled labour, while Spain exports graduates. And meanwhile, the proportion of people born abroad among under-35s is close to 24%. In other words: Spain is no longer just a country that exports talent; it is also a country that imports workers who, more often than not, use the country as a springboard.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (63 replies).
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