Vox inches toward total irrelevance, one small step at a time
An analysis of the debate over Vox's future in Spain: growth or irrelevance? Electoral data, the pact with Orbán and its geopolitical contradictions.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Step by step: is Vox heading toward irrelevance or consolidation?
When a political party goes from being the darling of the right to having to justify its existence every week, something is rotten in the far-right kingdom. Vox's recent rapprochement with Viktor Orbán, the Hungarian prime minister, has peine the debate over whether Abascal's party is losing its way or, on the contrary, positioning itself on the European chessboard. The electoral numbers speak for themselves: in regions like Extremadura, Aragón and Castilla y León, Vox has won representation, but its results have been modest compared with expectations.
The Orbán effect: ally or liability?
The photo of Abascal with Orbán in Budapest is not just a symbolic gesture. For some analysts, it represents Vox's attempt to anchor itself in European right-wing populism, but with risks. Orbán is a polarizing figure within the EU, accused of eroding the rule of law and maintaining ties with Russia. Meanwhile, Vox seeks to project an image of firmness against immigration and European bureaucracy. However, its ideological coherence suffers: Orbán is pro-Russian, Abascal is pro-Israeli and pro-American, and the United States and Russia are geopolitical rivals. This contradiction does not go unnoticed by part of the electorate.
The electoral data: growth or stagnation?
Vox's results in the latest regional elections show nuances. In Extremadura, Aragón and Castilla y León, the party has won seats, but far short of the forecasts that placed it as the third national force. Since its breakthrough in 2018, Vox has grown, but at a slower pace than expected. Some argue its electoral ceiling is near, while others point out that Spain's two-party system still holds. The truth is that, despite the media noise, the party has not managed to make the leap to Moncloa (the Spanish prime minister's residence).
The background noise: corruption and distrust
The debate has not been limited to Vox. The EU, with President Ursula von der Leyen at the helm, stands accused of corruption in cases such as 'Qatargate' and 'Segarro'. This distrust of European institutions fuels Vox's discourse, but also weakens it when it allies itself with controversial figures like Orbán. On the other hand, immigration management and the green agenda are issues where Vox tries to carve out its own profile, but without conclusive data to back up its proposals.
The road to irrelevance or consolidation is not written. What the debate reveals is that Vox walks a thin line between growth and stagnation. As the geopolitical chessboard is redrawn, the question left hanging is whether Vox's 'step by step' is that of a hardworking ant or a crab walking backwards.
Related debates in the forum
When a political party goes from being the darling of the right to having to justify its existence every week, something is rotten in the far-right kingdom. Vox's recent rapprochement with Viktor Orbán, the Hungarian prime minister, has peine the debate over whether Abascal's party is losing its way or, on the contrary, positioning itself on the European chessboard. The electoral numbers speak for themselves: in regions like Extremadura, Aragón and Castilla y León, Vox has won representation, but its results have been modest compared with expectations.
The Orbán effect: ally or liability?
The photo of Abascal with Orbán in Budapest is not just a symbolic gesture. For some analysts, it represents Vox's attempt to anchor itself in European right-wing populism, but with risks. Orbán is a polarizing figure within the EU, accused of eroding the rule of law and maintaining ties with Russia. Meanwhile, Vox seeks to project an image of firmness against immigration and European bureaucracy. However, its ideological coherence suffers: Orbán is pro-Russian, Abascal is pro-Israeli and pro-American, and the United States and Russia are geopolitical rivals. This contradiction does not go unnoticed by part of the electorate.
The electoral data: growth or stagnation?
Vox's results in the latest regional elections show nuances. In Extremadura, Aragón and Castilla y León, the party has won seats, but far short of the forecasts that placed it as the third national force. Since its breakthrough in 2018, Vox has grown, but at a slower pace than expected. Some argue its electoral ceiling is near, while others point out that Spain's two-party system still holds. The truth is that, despite the media noise, the party has not managed to make the leap to Moncloa (the Spanish prime minister's residence).
The background noise: corruption and distrust
The debate has not been limited to Vox. The EU, with President Ursula von der Leyen at the helm, stands accused of corruption in cases such as 'Qatargate' and 'Segarro'. This distrust of European institutions fuels Vox's discourse, but also weakens it when it allies itself with controversial figures like Orbán. On the other hand, immigration management and the green agenda are issues where Vox tries to carve out its own profile, but without conclusive data to back up its proposals.
The road to irrelevance or consolidation is not written. What the debate reveals is that Vox walks a thin line between growth and stagnation. As the geopolitical chessboard is redrawn, the question left hanging is whether Vox's 'step by step' is that of a hardworking ant or a crab walking backwards.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (37 replies).
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