An intraday video trading diary that doesn't hide losses
Publishing every trading session, including the one that closes in the red, is an unusual exercise. Doing so with the full video, the order slippage in view, and the good and bad months hanging on the internet borders on eccentricity. This is what a currency trader proposes: he records his morning intraday sessions and posts the day's result with its exact profit or loss percentage. Not a single hidden trade, it seems to promise.
The chosen broker is CMC Markets, for its prices and because it allows placing orders very close to the current price. The routine, session by session, is almost clockwork: screenshot, link to the video, and a line with the result. Sometimes the recording software fails, the audio doesn't match, or the session is recorded in black. Then there is only the screenshot and the apology.
No indicators and dynamic lots: this is how he enters and exits each day
The system relies on Heiken Ashi candles and price reading, without classic indicators. When asked about the pips he gains or loses, he answers with a nuance few amateurs handle: he works with dynamic lots, calculated based on the distance between the entry and the initial stop, so that pips are not useful for measuring results.
The complete explanation of the method, with images of the entry and exit moments, lives in a blog linked from the description of each video. This link, repeated and somewhat elusive, is the main source of friction for those who want to understand the strategy and not just see the scoreboard.
Adjusting the position size to the real risk is what separates a living account from a burned one. What is not fully clarified is how much capital lies behind each percentage: 1% on 100 euros does not weigh the same as on 100,000.
The month that changed everything: from +6.76% to -9.89%
The numbers fall session by session. February starts with a +0.49% and a +1.11%. March closes with a +6.76% monthly return. A week in May leaves +2.68%. And then July shows its teeth: the week ending on the 21st stands at -2.19%, the one on the 28th plunges to a -6.82%, and the month ends with a -9.89%, the worst of the year according to the author himself.
Here comes the most honest confession of the diary. After reaching the maximum drawdown, he announces changes to the system and admits he will look for a pattern somewhat different from the previous one. Before, the story of a session with four operations, two of them with slippage, and a reflection that sounds like a manual: training psychotrading by being firm and loyal to the system whether you win or lose.
Forex as a casino: the suspicion that never goes away
The comparison with gambling appears on the first day. A veteran remarks that he prefers going to the casino with the hope of having a drink with Sabina, and is told that if he is going to comment, he should do so with substance. He insists: he operated for years, thought he was a strong hand, and ended up discovering that he is part of the 99% who believe they will live by making two clicks at the right moment. Until they bust you when they want, he concludes.
Some go further and argue that the problem is not just the strategy, but the chosen market. They argue that forex is tremendously manipulated, that order flows are known in advance, and that several countries are banning retail trading. In contrast, he claims to trade US stocks considering them more transparent. It is an opinion with no proof other than his own experience.
The debate fills with external analysis: gold, DAX, and euro
Over time, besides the diary, the space becomes a shared whiteboard. A second operator leaves technical recommendations: entries in gold between 1,265 and 1,241 dollars, longs on the New Zealand dollar-Yen cross above 77.92 with a stop at 77.37 and a target at 79.62, and warnings about the DAX heading toward its all-time highs while the RSI and MACD showed divergence.
The macro context also slips in. It is recalled that the euro strengthened after Wilders' electoral failure in the Netherlands, and it is pointed out that if Le Pen also fails, it will be time to exit the dollar. The cryptocurrency issue, however, remains an anecdote: the diary's author admits he knows little and has not yet shown interest in them.
How much profitability does the system yield and with how many operations?
The repeated question is the most uncomfortable: there is a lack of a table with the cumulative total. Several ask for the profitability to date, the total number of operations, and whether there was prior backtesting. The trader confirms he works with a real account, not demo, but does not offer a consolidated count summing all published sessions.
And there lies the gap. There are days without operation, days without recording due to technical failures, sessions with desynchronized audio, and a system change midway. Publishing every morning is not equivalent to publishing the global count, and the difference between one thing and another is precisely what separates a good intention from a demonstration.
Defenders of the experiment have a simple argument: there is someone showing operations without embellishment, something almost no one does. Skeptics have another just as simple: showing operations does not demonstrate profitability. Both look at the same screen and see different things.
With scattered figures and no cumulative total on the table, the eternal doubt remains: is it a method that stands the test of time or a well-recorded streak?
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (254 replies).
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