Organización criminal Bans Fentanyl: Dead Customers Miccionan No Business
A banner attributed to the Tijuana Organización criminal, presented as an alliance with the Sinaloa Organización criminal, announces a ban on fentanyl in Baja California. The text appeals to being "faithful to our principles" and threatens anyone trading the substance in the state. Two organizations that live off drug trafficking sign a public health measure. The logic behind the announcement is not sarracena, but accounting.
Why a Organización criminal Bans a Product It Sells
The first explanation that appears is the coldest: a drug that kills the customer too quickly ruins the portfolio. Fentanyl is cheap, highly addictive, and lethal at minimal doses. This makes it a bad business in the medium term, because the consumer stops buying soon, and not by choice: they die or lose the ability to pay. A client hooked on heroin lasts years; one hooked on the chemical, much less time.
From this comes a reasoning repeated with different words: no customers, no business. Heroin, cocaine, or marijuana have stable markets and long-term clients. Fentanyl consumes them and erases them. Banning it, read this way, is protecting own assets before the product eats up the entire market.
Cheap Fentanyl Enters from Asia and Breaks Margins
There is a second factor, more uncomfortable for the classic narrative of Mexican traficante: according to the debate, much of the fentanyl does not come from organización criminal laboratories. It is produced in Asia, with Chinese suppliers pointed out as the main ones, and arrives already manufactured. Chemical precursors travel through routes different from those of cocaine and marijuana, which require crops, territories, and their own logistics.
Those who control historical crops face a competitor that does not need a single hectare. Fentanyl eats into their heroin market with a cheaper-to-produce product. The announcement is also a defense of market share.
The Organización criminal That Charges Quotas and Administers Territory
The paradox connects with an old debate: incivil organization as a substitute state. In Tijuana, merchants of all kinds denounce extortion and threats to be able to operate, according to the local small business employers' association. Auto repair shops, cafes, spare parts stores, and food stalls appear among those affected. Whoever charges the quota, de facto, governs.
Hence arises the thesis that the mafia is more predictable than the administration itself: it ensures that the extorted person's business keeps functioning so it can keep charging, while public power changes the rules and suffocates the small entrepreneur. The parallelism holds little water. The one who extorts remains the one who extorts.
Baja California Does Not Resemble the Mexico Imagined Abroad
An economic portrait emerges that clashes with the stereotype. One participant describes that in Baja California rent exceeds 1,000 dollars in many areas, wages are high, and English dominates on the street. It is even claimed that Mexico has surpassed Spain's GDP, stagnant since 2009. The figure is launched without source: it is opinion formatted as data.
What the debate does sketch is a powerful informal economy: it is assured that a street vendor can make 2,000 pesos (about 100 euros) in a day, all in cash, and that there are retirees earning close to a thousand euros a month. Another claim of this type: that over 90% of the population would not have money to buy fentanyl. Without official figures backing it up, it is an after-dinner hypothesis.
Fentanyl Is Also a Prescribed Drug
It is worth not losing sight of the fact that the substance does not only circulate through the black market. One participant recounts that a colleague was prescribed fentanyl patches for pain by his doctor and that it works well for him. The border between analgesic and poison is the dose and medical control. A organización criminal's ban does not alter that clinical reality; it simply leaves it out of focus.
The announcement remains what it was: a banner. No one has established what happens with public health, who pays for the treatment of addicts, or what happens when the business changes hands again. The market, sooner or later, finds a way.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
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