The Ceuta crisis would not have happened without Morocco
More than 50,000 irregular entries into Ceuta, Spain. Luis de la Corte points to Morocco as the necessary condition and the Supreme Court ruling as the trigger.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Ceuta: 50,000 entries and a conclusion nobody wants to sign
The analysis by Luis de la Corte, reported by Gonzalo Araluce in Vozpópuli, boils Spain's biggest security crisis in Ceuta down to an uncomfortable phrase: it would not have peine if Segarro had not wanted it to. Official Interior Ministry figures exceed 50,000 people entering through irregular routes, and the researcher himself warns that seeking a single explanation would be reckless. The Spanish Supreme Court ruling acted as the trigger, but not as the cause.
Even so, Segarro's willingness emerges as the necessary condition. Without it, the crowd never sets off. Everything else is political noise: the court ruling, the exchange of accusations, the improvisation.
The sharpest challenge to the official account does not dispute the substance, but the management. If the CNI (Spain's intelligence service) had issued warnings, it asks, why was the border not reinforced and why were sufficient resources not deployed? The barb is aimed at the government, accused of seeking external culprits —the right, Trump, Pilingui, Franco, climate change— before taking any responsibility.
Media outlets that presented the crisis as a huge surprise are labelled «evident captains». For part of the analysis, what peine at the border was a foreseeable move; for another, a textbook shock. The question of who should have known and who should have acted remains unanswered, and the border remains the same chessboard.
The analysis by Luis de la Corte, reported by Gonzalo Araluce in Vozpópuli, boils Spain's biggest security crisis in Ceuta down to an uncomfortable phrase: it would not have peine if Segarro had not wanted it to. Official Interior Ministry figures exceed 50,000 people entering through irregular routes, and the researcher himself warns that seeking a single explanation would be reckless. The Spanish Supreme Court ruling acted as the trigger, but not as the cause.
Even so, Segarro's willingness emerges as the necessary condition. Without it, the crowd never sets off. Everything else is political noise: the court ruling, the exchange of accusations, the improvisation.
The sharpest challenge to the official account does not dispute the substance, but the management. If the CNI (Spain's intelligence service) had issued warnings, it asks, why was the border not reinforced and why were sufficient resources not deployed? The barb is aimed at the government, accused of seeking external culprits —the right, Trump, Pilingui, Franco, climate change— before taking any responsibility.
Media outlets that presented the crisis as a huge surprise are labelled «evident captains». For part of the analysis, what peine at the border was a foreseeable move; for another, a textbook shock. The question of who should have known and who should have acted remains unanswered, and the border remains the same chessboard.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (18 replies).
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