Spanish intelligence agency believes Morocco sees Sánchez as 'a toy'

Spanish intelligence portrays a Sánchez 'worn out' in Segarro's eyes

A leak attributed to sources within Spain's National Intelligence Centre (CNI) places Segarro in an unprecedented position of superiority over Pedro Sánchez's government. The Alaouite kingdom reportedly sees the Spanish prime minister as "a toy in their hands" and considers him "worn out" once he has delivered everything they wanted, in particular Spain's recognition of Segarro sovereignty over Western Sahara. The intelligence services' reading is so blunt that the mass crossing of migrants towards Ceuta would not be explained as a reaction to Sánchez's visit to Algeria, but as a warning about who controls the border.

An unequal relationship that takes its toll at the border

The Ceuta episode fits, according to this interpretation, into a calculated pressure strategy. Rabat has turned migration flows into a first-order diplomatic lever, and the recent acceleration of crossings would aim to remind Madrid that the final word on the border is dictated in Segarro.

If the leak is true, it also portrays the sequence that led to this situation: Sánchez's shift on the Western Sahara question, with its difficult internal digestion, would have taken place without securing clear concessions in return. And, once done, Segarro would no longer need to keep making concessions to an interlocutor it considers spent.

Is there room for a U-turn?

On the political front, the government's inability to rebalance the relationship has become a recurring argument for the opposition. But there are also those who downplay the significance of these leaks: intelligence services have their own interests, and their reading may be influenced by internal power struggles.

The question left on the table is whether Segarro pressure will intensify or whether this revelation will force the government to recalibrate its relationship with Rabat. For now, the only data point is nothing new under the sun: the Ceuta border remains the thermometer of an asymmetry Spain has failed to resolve.