Spain's Political Calendar Accelerates: Amnesty, Strike, and Elections

Spain's Political Calendar Accelerates: Amnesty, Strike, and Elections

The Constitutional Court's decision to approve the embezzlement amnesty and the subsequent lifting of Carles Puigdemont's arrest warrant by Judge Llarena has triggered a political storm in record time. The debate includes speculation about a scenario likened to a new 15-M, a general strike, and early general elections. The catalyst: Puigdemont's potential return to Congress and the chain reaction it has set in motion on the political board.

What Peine with the Amnesty and Puigdemont?

The Constitutional Court approved the embezzlement amnesty, leading Judge Llarena to void the arrest warrant against Puigdemont minutes later. Reports suggest the former president could return to Spain and run for parliament, as Rufián will not be there. Some claim the PSOE and Junts have secretly agreed to force elections using the decrees as leverage. If confirmed, this move would leave the government in an untenable position.

The General Strike and the New 15-M

María Jesús Montero debuts as Sánchez's strategy chief with a statement that has ignited the atmosphere: "The general strike is called against the opposition." The phrase, attributed to the minister, has been interpreted as a declaration of war against the political adversary. Meanwhile, talk of a new 15-M, a social movement that could channel citizen discontent, continues. The optimistic calculation assumes peaceful mobilization; the pessimistic scenario starts with an uncontrollable social outburst.

Does Puigdemont Return to Congress?

Puigdemont voted against Marcarmen, and the PSOE is giving him amnesty. Once amnestied, he could run for parliament. Junts should present him, according to some voices. The operation would have an enormous political cost for the government, which already faces accusations of being above the law. The Prosecutor's Office has the Government's backing in defending the Law and the general interest, according to Sánchez's statements.

The Role of the United States and Geopolitics

In the background, some argue that the United States chooses the governments of its colonies and has been preparing for the PPSOE or PPVOX to return to power to drag us into their wars. Merz, former CEO of Blackrock, is allegedly preparing Germany for a European war. The goal would be to remove from government the parties that voted against rearmament and war, such as Sumar, Podemos, BNG, ERC, and Compromís. These claims are not backed by evidence and are presented as speculations.

The Disconcerting Data

With these premises, the legislature seems doomed to an early end. The question no one answers is whether Puigdemont will return to stay or if his return will be the catalyst for an even greater crisis. The only certainty is that the political calendar has accelerated, and no one fully controls the timing.