Hottest Summer Since 1961: 24.5°C Average and a Divided Nation
The Spanish State Meteorological Agency (Aemet) has confirmed that this year’s June and July were the hottest since historical records began in 1961. The average temperature reached 24.5 degrees, 0.7 higher than the previous record set in 2022 and 2025, and 2.9 degrees above the reference average (1991-2020). However, the news clashed with the perception of many citizens, who claim the heat was not exceptional or that their own thermometers show lower readings.
Official Data and Its Scope
Aemet records leave no room for doubt: the June-July period was the warmest in 65 years of analysis. This figure adds to an observed trend where the five hottest bimesters have occurred in recent years. For the scientific community, it is another sign of global warming. Yet, some analysts note that 65 years is a short series for long-term patterns, recalling that Earth has experienced far more extreme episodes over its 4.54 billion years.
Local Skepticism: Thermometers and Memory
The discrepancy is palpable. While Aemet reports highs of 40 degrees in cities like Bilbao, residents insist their thermometers do not reach those figures. In the south, people recall summers from their youth with temperatures of 44 to 46 degrees, well above this year’s levels. In Extremadura, where temperatures often exceed 40 degrees, locals describe a “normal” summer with only one intense heat week. These contradictory experiences fuel distrust toward weather stations and the official narrative.
The Cause Debate: Climate Change or Natural Cycles?
The prevailing explanation points to human-induced climate change. Others argue we face a natural warming cycle, similar to historical events like the Medieval Warm Period. References to the Little Ice Age in the 14th century and subsequent warming since the 19th are used to downplay human influence. Additionally, critics highlight opposing polar behaviors: while the north warms, the south cools, contradicting uniform global warming.
Political and Economic Background
The news quickly became politicized. Some accuse the government of using climate to justify interventionist measures and create bureaucratic entities. Others blame oil companies and lobbies for hindering the energy transition. Meanwhile, drought and extreme heat have tangible economic impacts: livestock farmers exhaust fodder reserves, agriculture relies on irrigation, and electricity consumption surges. Debates on a national climate pact clash with distrust toward proposed solutions.
The gap between global data and individual experience remains open. While science indicates sustained warming, memory and home thermometers tell a different story. As in many debates, the answer depends on whom you ask. Are we facing climate change or just another summer? Consensus is elusive, and skepticism, informed or not, resists accepting the official verdict.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (105 replies).
Spain's weather agency Aemet records the warmest summer since 1920: an average of 24.5ºC and two heatwaves. Public scepticism clashes with the scientific data on climate change.
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