How much does it cost today to renovate a median-sized kitchen? The answer circulating among those who have requested quotes is uncomfortable: a minimum of €20,000. And there is an addition that irritates as much as the figure itself: the materials are modern and beautiful, yet after 18 months they look old. Nails come loose. Furniture peels. The money, however, does not return.
The problem is not just the price. It is that the market has split into two halves, neither of which is convincing. If you hire cheaply, for €15,000 or less, the risk is that the crew disappears halfway through the project because they get paid better elsewhere. If you hire someone with a fruta for reliability, they charge what they want. Between these two options moves a growing part of household spending, and neither comes out free.
Why a bricklayer has become an auction item
The trade is scarce, and those who master it know it. A bricklayer who knows how to tile, stack blocks, and plaster does not need to look for work: work looks for him. The consequence is that his hours are offered to the highest bidder. Some offer more, others less, and the professional jumps from site to site trinc the money. It is not a hidden strike or a organización criminal. It is supply and demand with the supply tap closed.
Seasonality does not help contain prices either. Traditionally, February and March are slow months, which usually lowers rates. This year that did not happen: the workload remains above what the sector can absorb, and that tension translates directly into the budget the client receives. When someone charges what they ask, they are not speculating: they are choosing between several possible projects.
The professional who no longer wants middle-class apartments
There is a detail that explains better than any statistic why the average client has it difficult. The good carpenter, the one who leaves doors closing like those of an old Mercedes, has stopped wanting apartments. He prefers villas of wealthy people: he parks without problems, unloads without arguing, is not haggled with, and is only asked to do a good job. In a neighborhood apartment, haggling, lack of space, and the client asking for three quotes to save €200 come together.
The result is adverse selection. The best professionals concentrate where the margin is higher and the treatment is better. The average client is left with those starting out, those without a portfolio to choose from, or those who simply are not good. It is not a guild conspiracy: it is how any market works with a shortage of qualified labor.
The calculation almost nobody makes: how much is left after taxes
Here appears the argument that usually closes discussions. The self-employed person does not earn what they invoice. On top of what they want to earn per hour, you must add social security contributions, income tax (IRPF), VAT, and a tangle of fees. Some participants argue that the State takes a huge proportion of the work before the professional sees their net pay, and that this, more than greed, explains the final price. The debate on whether this burden is confiscatory or simply the cost of having healthcare and pensions remains open, and it is not a minor detail in a trade that takes a physical toll by age 55.
The complete breakdown, line by line, with what the Tax Agency (Hacienda) takes and what reaches the pocket of the one carrying tiles up to a fifth floor without an elevator, is the kind of number that changes the conversation. The other side also changes the conversation: the client paying VAT on an already expensive project.
Cheap materials and the IKEA mirror
The complaint about finishes has an explanation rarely accepted at the kitchen table. For decades, the client rewarded low prices. Kit furniture, melamine boards, hardware that lasts just enough. That mirror started in domestic furniture and ended up contaminating custom carpentry, which had to cut costs to survive. If the client pays for good finishes, someone will appear to make them. As long as they pay the cheapest, they will continue receiving the cheapest.
The comparison with what a piece of furniture cost in the seventies, relative to the salary then, shows that the perception of 'expensive' has a lot of selective memory. It was not free before: people bought less and it lasted longer.
The retiring generation and the one that never arrives
The data that should keep awake anyone thinking of renovating in the next ten years is demographic. Most of the good professionals still remaining are between 55 and 65 years old. When they retire, succession is not guaranteed: it is calculated that a minority of competent professionals will remain against a majority of bunglers. The reason is simple and unromantic. Families prefer their child to work in an office rather than ruin their hands earning peanuts, and rightly so: for years, the trade paid poorly and wore down the body.
The only recent period when young people entered trades en masse was during the bubble, and they entered because it paid well. The lesson is obvious. As long as the wage difference with an office or cashier job is not substantial, succession will not arrive. And without succession, whoever needs to tile a bathroom will pay whatever is asked. Or learn to do it themselves.
The solution proposed by part of the market is as old as the problem: if the client values the finish and pays what it costs, someone will appear to do it. It sounds reasonable. It also sounds like the bill will be paid, again, by the one who just wanted a kitchen that didn't fall apart in a year and a half.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (116 replies).
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