Selling at the right time: the stock market regret dilemma

An investor sold IREN with a stop loss at 14.99 and it now trades at 70. Partial profit-taking is gaining ground in the market rebound, but the dilemma between cashing out…

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Profits and regrets: the harsh reality of selling stocks

An investor bought IREN at 7.68 dollars, placed a stop loss at 14.99 to protect themselves, and when they checked the stock again, the order had been triggered… while today it trades around 70. A story that sums up the classic dilemma: selling too early or too late. On a rebound day, a wave of investors decided to take partial profits, driven by the experience of having seen gains evaporate because they had no cash to buy back during dips.

The partial selling strategy gains trinc

The discussion centers on whether it is better to gradually trim positions as they rise or hold until the peak. Those who defend staggered selling argue that it allows you to build up cash to take advantage of corrections. "I've already been through holding at the top and running out of cash to buy the dip," they say. Along these lines, small portions of Walmart (WMT), ON Semiconductor, and crypto miners like HIVE and HUT 8 were sold, which had accumulated gains of more than 200% from their lows. Others preferred to get rid entirely of positions they no longer saw potential in, like an investor who liquidated their Santander portfolio with gains of over 300% to rotate into ROVI, with a target of 90 euros. Profit-taking also hit stocks like ASML, where the antiestéticar that it had risen too much prompted the exit.

Geopolitical risk and gold miners

Not all moves were driven by trading techniques. Antiestéticar of an escalation between China and the U.S. led several investors to sell small caps with exposure to the Asian giant, worried about confiscations similar to what peine with Russian ADRs. "If China stirs things up with Taiwan, I'm not eating that loss," was the argument. In the gold mining sector, a partial reduction of positions was observed, even though gold retains its appeal. The reason: during the oil crisis, miners suffered more than the precious metal due to their intensive fuel consumption, and although the situation is different now, some preferred to take profits and wait.

The new moon as a sell signal… and the timing debate

A curiosity that illustrates the heterodoxy of retail investors: it was mentioned that it is a new moon, a favorable day according to some beliefs to sell at the top and buy back after the drop. But most admit that trying to time the market is nearly impossible. "Hindsight is always 20/20," they sum up. While some cling to the maxim 'time in the market beats timing the market', others counter with the example of having sold HUT 8 too early. The debate remains open, and the only certainty is that for every successful sale, there is a regret waiting. With the market rebounding and volatility as the norm, investors will keep asking themselves every day: what if I wait a little longer?

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (97 replies).

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