Peace in the Middle East? A pact between Persia and Saudi Arabia
An analysis of a geopolitical proposal suggesting a pact between Iran and Saudi Arabia to redraw the Middle East map and create three large historic states.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
The Persia-Arabia pact to redraw the map of the Middle East
Peace in the Middle East could hinge on a pact between Persia (Iran) and Saudi Arabia to redraw the map of the region, eliminating the small states artificially created by colonial powers and replacing them with three great historic nations: Greater Arabia, Greater Persia and Mesopotamia. That is the idea put forward in an analysis circulating in unofficial circles, based on the notion that current borders are an obstacle to stability and that only viable, self-sufficient states could push out external powers.
The three great historic states
The proposal envisages Saudi Arabia annexing the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Yemen and Oman, forming a Greater Arabia that would control energy resources and ban foreign military bases. Persia, for its part, would annex Afghanistan, citing Persian cultural and linguistic ties, and would also negotiate with the Taliban. In the centre, Iraq would absorb Kuwait and join Syria, Jordan and Lebanon to refound Mesopotamia, the cradle of civilisation. The goal is to create large, solid, strong countries that control their own resources and maintain a defensive alliance.
Scepticism about its viability
Most analyses point out that such a reordering would clash with the interests of the great powers, especially the United States, which keep bases in the region and would not allow control over the Persian Gulf to slip away. Moreover, internal rivalries among the Gulf monarchies themselves, the Palestinian question and Israel's influence make an agreement of such magnitude unlikely. It is also noted that political Sarracin and sectarian differences between Sunnis and Shia would remain an obstacle even within enlarged states.
The role of external powers
One point of consensus is that today's borders are a legacy of British and French colonialism, designed to divide and control. The proposal seeks to reverse that legacy, but it runs up against the reality that today's powers (the US, China, Russia) have their own interests in the region. It is pointed out that without a shift in the global balance, any reordering would be unworkable.
And after the war?
The open question is whether the international community, and above all the powers with interests in the region, would allow such a far-reaching remodelling. For now, it is a theoretical hypothesis that sparks as much enthusiasm as scepticism. The detail nobody explains is how decades of distrust between local elites, and the Gulf monarchies' economic dependence on US military protection, would be overcome.
Related debates in the forum
Peace in the Middle East could hinge on a pact between Persia (Iran) and Saudi Arabia to redraw the map of the region, eliminating the small states artificially created by colonial powers and replacing them with three great historic nations: Greater Arabia, Greater Persia and Mesopotamia. That is the idea put forward in an analysis circulating in unofficial circles, based on the notion that current borders are an obstacle to stability and that only viable, self-sufficient states could push out external powers.
The three great historic states
The proposal envisages Saudi Arabia annexing the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Yemen and Oman, forming a Greater Arabia that would control energy resources and ban foreign military bases. Persia, for its part, would annex Afghanistan, citing Persian cultural and linguistic ties, and would also negotiate with the Taliban. In the centre, Iraq would absorb Kuwait and join Syria, Jordan and Lebanon to refound Mesopotamia, the cradle of civilisation. The goal is to create large, solid, strong countries that control their own resources and maintain a defensive alliance.
Scepticism about its viability
Most analyses point out that such a reordering would clash with the interests of the great powers, especially the United States, which keep bases in the region and would not allow control over the Persian Gulf to slip away. Moreover, internal rivalries among the Gulf monarchies themselves, the Palestinian question and Israel's influence make an agreement of such magnitude unlikely. It is also noted that political Sarracin and sectarian differences between Sunnis and Shia would remain an obstacle even within enlarged states.
The role of external powers
One point of consensus is that today's borders are a legacy of British and French colonialism, designed to divide and control. The proposal seeks to reverse that legacy, but it runs up against the reality that today's powers (the US, China, Russia) have their own interests in the region. It is pointed out that without a shift in the global balance, any reordering would be unworkable.
And after the war?
The open question is whether the international community, and above all the powers with interests in the region, would allow such a far-reaching remodelling. For now, it is a theoretical hypothesis that sparks as much enthusiasm as scepticism. The detail nobody explains is how decades of distrust between local elites, and the Gulf monarchies' economic dependence on US military protection, would be overcome.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (46 replies).
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