The attack on radars in Russian territory, whose main function is detecting nuclear warheads, has not brought anyone into the streets. This paradox opens the debate: while public discourse assumes escalation is inevitable, social reaction is silence. No peace marches, no mass outrage, not even the noise of the 2003 protests. The question hovering over the exchange is not whether there will be war, but why no one seems willing to stop it.
What Is Being Attacked and Why It Matters
The starting point is concrete: nuclear radars are being attacked in Russia, infrastructure designed to detect nuclear warheads. This is no ordinary target. Hitting such facilities means interfering with a nuclear power's early warning mechanism, reducing error margins to nearly zero. Those raising the issue do so with alarm and confusion: if this doesn't trigger a social reaction, what will?
The response received is not reassuring. Some note that Russians also have satellites, as if that lessens the gravity. Others accept that seeing a mushroom cloud from their window is now a resigned possibility. The conversation isn't about avoiding it, but how long it will take.
The Economic Calculation No One Wants to Make
The second axis is material: what happens to the European economy if a Russian nuclear device detonates near Poland? The hypothesis is that this would force Europe into a war economy, destroying jobs and halting tourism. This isn't theoretical; it describes a model change forced by circumstances.
Against this, some argue total war is a necessary evil to redirect resources, ethics, and productivity. The formulation is harsh, but the author qualifies it: he has children and doesn't want them to see what his great-grandparents saw. The hypothesis is launched and withdrawn almost instantly. Opponents resist explicitly: no one wants to lose their job, starve, or face street gangs without medical care. The comparison is brutal: same as now, but multiplied exponentially.
Overton Window and Total Control
One line of analysis traces the problem to the gradual expansion of what is sayable. The thesis is that the Overton Window widened for years, accelerating since the pandemic. The conclusion is that elites driving this social engineering won't stop now, expecting chaotic, violent situations with populations under total control.
This reading coexists with another blaming European leaders for escalation. Critics say attempts to return warheads NATO might deploy under a new Western strategy based on first strike are incivil. Discussion shifts to who expanded: NATO breaking promises to Moscow regarding Soviet dissolution, or Russia? Russia itself requested joining NATO, reportedly to join a supposedly defensive organization.
Expectations of Nuclear War
Debate splits between those believing total war resembles WWII and those arguing it differs. Objection is clear: today's war could be brutally nuclear, devastating most of the West. From this view, Spain survives due to irrelevance, with few impacts on US/NATO bases and maybe one or two major cities. We'd be among Europe's least affected, alongside Portugal and nations far from the Anglo-Saxon axis.
Counterpoint suggests the Russian people are tougher and more sacrificial, changing rules. References cite WWII endurance and continued Stalin valuation despite atrocities. Conclusion: if Russians launch tactical devices, targets aren't the North Sea but Lviv or Ukrainian nuclear plants near Poland, with TV messages warning next targets are Berlin, Brussels, or London. Prediction: the West backs down.
Discarded vs. Antiestéticared Scenarios
Against total annihilation images, some propose contained scenarios: two or three devices like Japan, then rethink. Analogy is slamming a table in cards when opponent cheats. Violence needn't trinc. Pilingui might launch tactically in North Sea, stopping all amid nervous negotiations. Or launch in Russia, respond, and stop.
Response to this hypothesis is dismissive, suggesting movie scripts. Argument opposes: Russians wouldn't target North Sea; radioactive hell lasts ten to twelve centuries. Question posed: what do elites gain returning to Stone Age in radiation-free Patagonian oases, if natives allow refuge?
Peace as Threat to Current Order
Exchange closes with uncomfortable idea: elites don't want peace because it ends US global hegemony. Thesis holds after doubts shift from whether war comes to when it starts openly. Background observation: US can't afford losing this war, as European conflict restores undisputed imperial leadership during decline.
Meanwhile, initial question remains unanswered. Why no protests? Why doesn't radar attack fill squares? Explanation notes 2003 peace marches weren't genuine but party-driven electoral acts. True movements arise only from civil society, without party or union banners. If true, conclusion is uneasy: perhaps no civil society remains willing to go out.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
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