Forum User Claims 2010 Prius Safer Than 2025 EcoSport
A forum user argues that a Toyota Prius registered in 2010 presents a mortality risk of 16 per million vehicles, while a 2025 Ford EcoSport with front-wheel drive reaches a rate of 84. According to this claim, the difference is more than fivefold. The data, sourced from US IIHS records, is used to question the belief that all new cars are safe and all old ones dangerous. The user adds that vehicle age is not the determining factor; size, weight, and structural quality matter most.
Real Mortality Data Contradicts Official Narrative
According to the data cited by this user, accident statistics show stagnation that contradicts statements from Spain's DGT (Dirección General de Tráfico) and manufacturers. They claim road fatalities in Spain have barely changed in two decades, and US death rates per mile driven remain virtually identical for twenty-two years. During this period, vehicles deemed dangerous, such as independent-chassis SUVs without stability control, were scrapped and replaced by unibody crossovers with electronic systems, yet results do not reflect promised miraculous improvements.
Some argue passive safety peaked technically two decades ago, with electronic stability control being the last significant advance. Since then, manufacturers focus on adding electronic assistants to justify replacing the fleet. A comparison with the arms industry is revealing: designs like the Ruger 10/22 carbine or Glock pistol remain benchmarks decades later because materials and physics impose hard limits.
The Fraud of Expiring Safety Ratings
This user denounces that Europe's Euro NCAP program assigns a six-year validity to its ratings. A vehicle rated four stars in 2001 appears unsafe today merely due to time passing. Conversely, the US IIHS maintains results indefinitely. If a 2001 Volvo S60 received a "Good" rating, it remains valid. The user suggests this difference is not accidental; Euro NCAP serves commercial interests seeking to demonize used vehicles to stimulate new purchases.
The paradox peaks when comparing specific models. A 1999 Volkswagen Passat, worth around €1,000, records lower mortality than a 2023 Tesla Model 3, according to this participant. The 2001 Volvo S60, another cheap acquisition, also outperforms the €50,000 electric car. The all-wheel-drive Tesla Model 3 shows a mortality rate higher than the average of the entire US fleet since 2006.
ADAS: Solution or New Risk?
Mandatory Advanced Driver Assistance Systems coincide with rising accident rates since 2019, according to this user. They claim no solid evidence exists that these systems reduce accidents. ABS experience is illustrative: introduced with great promises, serious studies later revealed equipped vehicles had higher accident rates. ADAS rely on perfect road signage, which rarely exists. In construction zones, temporary markings can direct vehicles into concrete barriers.
Fundamental motoring principles state there is only one driver per alucinación. Systems correcting trajectory or applying autonomous braking introduce a second command over steering and brakes. A passenger constantly shouting instructions would be ejected. ADAS institutionalize this unwanted presence. In California, a Cybertruck accident resulted in three occupant deaths from fire, not impact. Speculation suggests occupants, under substance influence, relied on the vehicle to take them home safely.
Pollution as Excuse for Fleet Renewal
Older vehicles comply with European emission standards applicable at homologation, according to this user. If an Euro standard was acceptable in 1999, there is no technical reason to deem it insufficient now. Switzerland lacks low-emission zones and allows any vehicle compliant with registration rules to circulate. In Spain, the same car becomes a supposed environmental killer despite emitting exactly what it did when leaving the factory.
Demonizing used vehicles responds to economic interests, according to this argument. Forced fleet renewal benefits manufacturers and financial institutions. New car prices have escalated to levels excluding broad population segments. Meanwhile, current models incorporate downsized three-cylinder engines, touchscreens hindering ergonomics, and crossover architectures raising the center of gravity. The result, they claim, is a more expensive, complex, and often less safe vehicle than its predecessor.
Which Cars Offer Real Safety?
IIHS lists recommend large used vehicles with modest power and good crash test results for novice drivers. The DGT, however, directs towards small electric utility cars, according to this user. Physics dictates rules: greater distance between occupants and exterior means more space and materials to dissipate impact energy. In side collisions, small vehicles offer minimal survival margin. Weight and size determine safety in real accidents, not registration date.
The final paradox involves fuel. Diesel, safest against fire, is precisely what is being abandoned, according to this user. Electric vehicle batteries burn after collisions, causing difficult-to-extinguish fires. Energy transition introduces new risks not evaluated with the same rigor as emissions. Buyers seeking real safety must heed criteria official marketing deliberately ignores.
How much safer is a new car than one from twenty years ago? The question remains unanswered quantitatively. Available data suggests differences, where they exist, are marginal or nonexistent.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (162 replies).
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