Forum Debates AI Claim That Workers Will Be Replaced by 2028
A forum discussion questions the claim that AI will replace all workers by 2028, citing skepticism over OpenAI's losses and the cost of automation.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
A forum discusses the promise that AI will replace all workers by 2028
A forum discussion has addressed the industry's promise that artificial intelligence will replace all workers by 2028. The claim has generated skepticism among participants, not due to its novelty—the sector has been selling the same narrative for years—but because of the specific timeline. Critics argue this horizon does not withstand first contact with productive reality.
The business of promising the future
The initial reaction is skepticism. The entity promising the technology that claims to replace us is not a neutral observer. Its company, OpenAI, loses billions every quarter, and its model depends on investors believing the product is the new messiah. As a recurring analysis summarizes, it is like a umbrella factory owner announcing that it will rain every day.
The argument is reinforced by the income statement. The company loses 12 billion per quarter, according to the figure repeated in the conversation. With these figures, the 2028 date is not a technical prediction: it is a financial necessity. It needs the narrative to keep the investment round alive.
What jobs can AI replace in 2028?
The short answer is: those that can already be automated with Excel and a Pleistocene ERP. Current AI—language models, image generators—is a costly and error-prone assistance tool. It is not an autonomous replacement. Integrating it into a typical SME requires consulting, infrastructure, and training that multiply the cost of the salary it aims to save.
There is broad consensus that physical jobs are out of reach. A plumber, a roofer, or a lumberjack will not be replaced by a language model. The anecdote is recurrent: someone needing a 50,000-euro roof finds no one answering the phone. AI will not climb up to lay tiles.
The problem no one wants to look at
If AI replaces employees, who pays the monthly subscriptions? The reasoning is circular: large companies will not be able to pay for AI agents if there is no one left to sell products or services to. Total automation destroys the market that sustains it.
The 2028 date is the new "autonomous car in 2020" or "the metaverse is the future." A revolution is announced for tomorrow, billions are injected, reality clashes with the tale, and those who bought the dream are left with the sticker. The cycle repeats punctually.
Civil servants, politicians, and the rest of mortals
The most repeated irony antiestéticatures civil servants as protagonists. AI will not fire an administrative worker who has been stamping documents for 38 years. The joke tells itself. In public administration, technology will arrive, but only as assistance: the same person, the same chair, the same apparent productivity.
Some also wish for AI to replace politicians. The desire is more a symptom of frustration than a technical plan. And some recall that AI hype merchants should also be replaced.
The question is not whether AI can chop wood in 2028. The question is who will pay for an AI that chops wood, if the person who needs it has lost their job. That detail does not appear in the interview.
A forum discussion has addressed the industry's promise that artificial intelligence will replace all workers by 2028. The claim has generated skepticism among participants, not due to its novelty—the sector has been selling the same narrative for years—but because of the specific timeline. Critics argue this horizon does not withstand first contact with productive reality.
The business of promising the future
The initial reaction is skepticism. The entity promising the technology that claims to replace us is not a neutral observer. Its company, OpenAI, loses billions every quarter, and its model depends on investors believing the product is the new messiah. As a recurring analysis summarizes, it is like a umbrella factory owner announcing that it will rain every day.
The argument is reinforced by the income statement. The company loses 12 billion per quarter, according to the figure repeated in the conversation. With these figures, the 2028 date is not a technical prediction: it is a financial necessity. It needs the narrative to keep the investment round alive.
What jobs can AI replace in 2028?
The short answer is: those that can already be automated with Excel and a Pleistocene ERP. Current AI—language models, image generators—is a costly and error-prone assistance tool. It is not an autonomous replacement. Integrating it into a typical SME requires consulting, infrastructure, and training that multiply the cost of the salary it aims to save.
There is broad consensus that physical jobs are out of reach. A plumber, a roofer, or a lumberjack will not be replaced by a language model. The anecdote is recurrent: someone needing a 50,000-euro roof finds no one answering the phone. AI will not climb up to lay tiles.
The problem no one wants to look at
If AI replaces employees, who pays the monthly subscriptions? The reasoning is circular: large companies will not be able to pay for AI agents if there is no one left to sell products or services to. Total automation destroys the market that sustains it.
The 2028 date is the new "autonomous car in 2020" or "the metaverse is the future." A revolution is announced for tomorrow, billions are injected, reality clashes with the tale, and those who bought the dream are left with the sticker. The cycle repeats punctually.
Civil servants, politicians, and the rest of mortals
The most repeated irony antiestéticatures civil servants as protagonists. AI will not fire an administrative worker who has been stamping documents for 38 years. The joke tells itself. In public administration, technology will arrive, but only as assistance: the same person, the same chair, the same apparent productivity.
Some also wish for AI to replace politicians. The desire is more a symptom of frustration than a technical plan. And some recall that AI hype merchants should also be replaced.
The question is not whether AI can chop wood in 2028. The question is who will pay for an AI that chops wood, if the person who needs it has lost their job. That detail does not appear in the interview.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (104 replies).
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