Boris: The Bot Attempting to Multiply $20 by 100,000
Boris is not a person; it is software. Its stated mission is to enter the currency market with $20 and exit with $2 million, doubling capital monthly. It launched, and its first move was a loss. The initial balance: -$9.31, including commissions. "So far, Boris is a disaster," admitted its creator, a financial risk software developer who codes the robot in his spare time. Publishing red numbers from such an experiment takes guts, and there is logic to it: those who predict failure rarely look bad.
How Does a Robot Plan to Double $20 Monthly?
The concept is as simple as it sounds. The bot places orders for 18 pips with stop-loss and take-profit targets, aiming to predict price direction, soon expanding to a 15-25 pip range. Risk increases with balance: more capital means more aggressive bets. Early on, the balance rose from $20 to $37. The immediate goal was $50 in two weeks, approaching $70-$100 in a month. "$60 would be enough," added the project lead, who won't accept third-party funds until reaching $1,000 and six months of history.
Markov Chains and Trend Shifts: How the Algorithm Decides
Under the hood isn't a crystal ball, but a statistical model. The system uses finite discrete Markov chains optimized during slow market changes. If the market moves abruptly, there's no time to adjust, so the robot disconnects. It seeks sharp price reversals, betting based on past hits and misses. Variables include time of day and previous 24-hour movement. Some ask why the model passes through Excel and Matlab, or if a Kalman filter was tested. Others request factor lists or genetic algorithm adjustments.
C++, C#, MySQL: Plumbing Connecting to MetaTrader
The technical side isn't secret. The robot is built in C++ and C# on Visual Studio, using a MySQL database for data storage. A C++ bridge, a DLL for MQL4, connects MetaTrader to the bot: extracting data and sending orders. Every second, the program calculates whether to launch a trade. Text files also exchange data underneath, like a history of the last 50 orders updated every minute.
Costs are clear: $7 per lot commission. Regarding bypassing MetaTrader to trade directly with brokers, the author notes it's possible—brokers are just servers clients connect to—but often fails. He prefers keeping the platform open to script in mql4 and exchange histories.
From -$9.31 to $1,000: First Version's Journey
The start was a string of failures. Three bugs fixed early; then the balance stalled. A pause due to the developer's health issues, then back to work. The summary is contradictory: "The bot had flaws but generated $1,000." Later, he acknowledged that, like all robots, it stopped working when the market changed and software didn't adapt. The response is version two, which allegedly returns 100 times investment over the last year, though only in tests, not real money. The plan is to go live and publish positions on Twitter in real-time.
Martingale Shadow: Why Probability Works Against You
Doubling capital monthly has arithmetic and psychological problems. If each trade wins near 50% probability plus commissions, long-term expected result is ruin. The betting system doubling stakes after losses, the martingale, appears as a classic warning, same as when someone promises to multiply tiny accounts. The starting number isn't random: €20 costs a hamburger, so maximum assumed loss is defined.
Not everyone jokes about it. Amidst those wanting €40,000 loans for the bot, or demanding water-to-wine miracles, one experience cuts tension: someone lost €10,000 in Forex five years ago and doesn't recommend it.
$200 Monthly and Portfolio of Dying Robots
Behind the $2 million promise is a modest method described by the author: test bots, optimize them, abandon them when they fail. If one lasts six months, double the bet; another six, double again; then withdraw 25% of profits. With this criterion, he claims programs producing $200/month fully automated, aiming for five or six running over a year. The core idea is a robot portfolio, diversifying like stocks.
There's disdain for titles too: PhDs in math or physics don't make anyone smarter, he says. He defines himself as a mathematician lacking topology courses, arguing his work isn't in books but research hours and scientific method. He announces charging nothing, and if successful, maybe copying it at volume-discounted brokers. The alternative joke offer: a €20,000 course on ruining yourself in stocks and Forex.
The disorienting calculation isn't the robot's, but arithmetic's. Doubling €20 about 36 times exceeds a trillion, surpassing today's top billionaire. Probability is low, admits the author, but possible: just luck and antiestéticarlessness letting the program execute rules. With these materials, anything can come out.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (130 replies).
In July 2024, a forum post predicted an Iran war and gold at €6,000/oz. Today, the ounce exceeds €100, but the author's track record raises skepticism.