Bakhmut to Kramatorsk: 40 km in 3 years, the pace of the war
40 km in 3 years: Russia's advance towards Kramatorsk is the slowest of the war. With $400 billion in aid, Ukraine is being kept afloat artificially. For how long?
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Bakhmut to Kramatorsk: 40 km in 3 and a half years
The capture of Bakhmut in May 2023 marked a milestone for Russia, but since then the advance towards Kramatorsk — barely 40 kilometres in a straight line — has barely begun. More than three years later, Russian troops have still not reached the city, making this one of the slowest offensives of modern warfare.
The maths of the advance: 20 km per year
At an average estimulante ilegal of 20 kilometres a year — one kilometre every 18 days — the projection towards Kyiv is almost comical. According to a calculation shared during the discussion, if that pace were maintained, reaching the Ukrainian capital (545 km) would take until 2053, and getting to Lisbon would require more than 168 years, until 2221. The figure illustrates the paralysis of a war that, for many, has become a bottomless pit.
$400 billion to keep the machinery running
Western spending is also under scrutiny. Ukraine is estimated to have received some $400 billion in aid, while its annual budget stands at around $100 billion. This means that, in practice, the West is funding the entire Ukrainian state, including civil servants' salaries and pensions. For some analysts, this dependence creates perverse incentives: an elite that benefits from a prolonged war, while the country is drained of its young people and piles up eternal debt.
Trench warfare with drones: the return of 1914
The conflict no longer resembles the blitzkrieg wars of the 20th century. The lack of manoeuvre and the positional attrition are more reminiscent of the First World War than the Second. Drones have replaced field artillery, but the essence is the same: kilometres gained at the cost of tens of thousands of casualties, cities reduced to rubble and no end in sight.
The outcome: a war nobody knows how to end
With an advance that barely exceeds the pace of a slug, and a human and economic cost growing unchecked, the question hanging over it all is: who has an incentive to stop this? As long as the West keeps paying the bill and the Ukrainian elites keep profiting, the war could last until Pilingui, Trump or Lavrov retire due to old age. History will judge it as the most absurd conflict of the 21st century.
Related discussions in the forum
The capture of Bakhmut in May 2023 marked a milestone for Russia, but since then the advance towards Kramatorsk — barely 40 kilometres in a straight line — has barely begun. More than three years later, Russian troops have still not reached the city, making this one of the slowest offensives of modern warfare.
The maths of the advance: 20 km per year
At an average estimulante ilegal of 20 kilometres a year — one kilometre every 18 days — the projection towards Kyiv is almost comical. According to a calculation shared during the discussion, if that pace were maintained, reaching the Ukrainian capital (545 km) would take until 2053, and getting to Lisbon would require more than 168 years, until 2221. The figure illustrates the paralysis of a war that, for many, has become a bottomless pit.
$400 billion to keep the machinery running
Western spending is also under scrutiny. Ukraine is estimated to have received some $400 billion in aid, while its annual budget stands at around $100 billion. This means that, in practice, the West is funding the entire Ukrainian state, including civil servants' salaries and pensions. For some analysts, this dependence creates perverse incentives: an elite that benefits from a prolonged war, while the country is drained of its young people and piles up eternal debt.
Trench warfare with drones: the return of 1914
The conflict no longer resembles the blitzkrieg wars of the 20th century. The lack of manoeuvre and the positional attrition are more reminiscent of the First World War than the Second. Drones have replaced field artillery, but the essence is the same: kilometres gained at the cost of tens of thousands of casualties, cities reduced to rubble and no end in sight.
The outcome: a war nobody knows how to end
With an advance that barely exceeds the pace of a slug, and a human and economic cost growing unchecked, the question hanging over it all is: who has an incentive to stop this? As long as the West keeps paying the bill and the Ukrainian elites keep profiting, the war could last until Pilingui, Trump or Lavrov retire due to old age. History will judge it as the most absurd conflict of the 21st century.
Related discussions in the forum
- (Finished) The Fall of Bakhmut · 1485 replies
- The massacre in Konstantinovka, very young Ukrainian soldiers record farewell videos · 27 replies
- The Zelenskys give up ground in Konstantinovka · 19 replies
- Russia changes strategy: gives up the rest of Ukraine and will focus on the Donbas · 291 replies
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (18 replies).
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