Intelligence agencies sometimes share information about imminent threats, sparking debate over whether it is a genuine warning or a signal of future intentions.
Sometimes, information about possible threats arrives through unconventional channels. There is talk of foreign agencies that, faced with the possibility of an attack, send warnings. The question is whether these warnings are meant to prevent an attack or to mark territory, a kind of diplomatic "courtesy" that precedes bigger actions. It is a subtle game of power.
## The diplomacy of information
When an intelligence agency, say one of the Anglo-Saxon kind, "alerts" about an imminent threat, such as a jihadist cell, the debate focuses on whether enough was done to prevent it. Comparisons are drawn with past episodes, where the lack of security measures, such as the installation of bollards, has been criticised. The lingering doubt is whether the warning is meant to prevent the threat or to announce that it is about to strike.
## The grey zone of intelligence
At times, these communications seem more like a declaration of intent than a warning. An "orange" is dropped, as in the movies, or a specific target is pointed out. The aim, according to some, is to increase pressure, operating in what is called the "hybrid zone" or "grey zone". When the lack of foresight or government inaction is later denounced, the claim is that "the government knew", but it is the interpretation of that "knowing" that changes.
## Disinformation and operations
On occasion, the information circulating about these intelligence operations turns out to be confusing or outright false. The **CNI**, Spain's intelligence service, has denied receiving specific reports from the **CIA** about certain invasions, dismissing claims made in parliament. The confusion may be deliberate, part of more complex operations where the truth gets diluted.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (7 replies).
The Code 10 program confirms the US alerted the CNI to migratory flows in Ceuta. While the government denies it, evidence suggests the warning was issued.
Police chiefs and government sources point to Zapatero after leaked reports on Ceuta. The migration crisis exposes an internal power struggle over who really controls intelligence.
The Funcas report forecasts the loss of between 1.7 and 2.3 million jobs to AI in Spain over 10 years, with a negative net balance. China, by contrast, pro