The question is not whether Volodymyr Zelensky will survive politically, but how his life will end. An informal poll, open for 593 days, predicts outcomes ranging from polonium poisoning to a golden retirement in Israel or Miami. The consensus, if any, is that he will not die of old age.
The debate stems from the uncomfortable fact that the Ukrainian president knows too much. His death by natural causes is no longer the primary hypothesis but the exception.
Polonium, Plane Crash, and Other Violent Outcomes
The most repeated option is poisoning. Polonium, Novichok, and tea with cake appear as plausible methods. Polonium has become the symbol of silent executions. The reference to Prigozhin’s plane crash serves as a precedent: the plane he travels in, piloted by Prigozhin, will disappear under a white cloud.
A plane crash is the second most cited method. It refers to a manufactured accident: a helicopter that fails, a plane that falls without explanation. This method allows for an official cover-up. Such an apparatus can fail, arguing that technical probability is the only factor.
The third option is direct execution. A shot to the back of the head, a sniper, or hanging. The nationality of the executors varies: British, Russian, American, or Ukrainian. Each has a preferred method. The British might opt for a traffic accident; the Russians, for poison; the Americans, for a precise shot; the Ukrainians, for hanging.
Golden Exile: Miami, Israel, or Tel Aviv
Against violent deaths, some predict flight. Zelensky might grab millions and fly to Miami at the last moment. Others see him in Israel, like almost all his people, mixing geopolitics and prejudice. Luxury exile is not far-fetched: several messages recall that this has peine before with other leaders.
The problem is that Zelensky is not just any leader. He has been the face of a conflict costing hundreds of thousands of lives. His legacy would be the destruction of his country, noting that neither Minsk nor Istanbul were utilized. In this scenario, neither Miami nor Tel Aviv guarantees peace. Internal and external enemies do not disappear with an Atlantic flight.
The Israeli variant has an ethnic component. He will end his days in Israel, like almost all his people, said without specifying who "his people" are. This argument relies on family ties and the Jewish community but remains a conjecture.
Political Calculation: Elections, Peace, and Dignity
A fourth, less spectacular but more plausible scenario is a negotiated retirement. Washington might suggest he call elections, try to lose them, and retire with minimal dignity. This is the path that sheds the least blood but fits the character least. The drug addict ignores it, summarizing skepticism about this path.
Signing a peace agreement would not save him. If he signs, radical sectors consider him a traitor. If he does not, the war continues and his wear increases. His life in Ukraine is worthless, concluding that he is trapped in a rat hole from which he can only escape by fleeing.
The comparison with Ceaușescu serves as a warning. The Romanian dictator was executed after a summary trial. The difference is that Zelensky is not a dictator, but the analogy illustrates that abrupt endings are not exclusive to authoritarian regimes. History is full of leaders who underestimated their own end.
What is the Probability of Dying of Old Age?
Very low, according to the debate. The option of a natural death, surrounded by family, in a steel bed with Egyptian sheets, is posed as an irony rather than a serious forecast. He does not die of old age, settling the general sentiment.
The only voice betting on a quiet end compares him to Churchill: he will die old, in his country, and be buried as a hero. This is an exception in a chorus that largely discounts this possibility. The reference to Churchill is not casual: both led their countries in an existential war, but Churchill did not have half the world pointing to him as responsible for an avoidable massacre.
The debate does not reach a consensus on the method, but on the outcome. Only the date is uncertain; his fate is sealed, summarizing an intervention that could be signed by the majority. The lingering question is whether this fate will be fulfilled before or after Zelensky leaves power.
The analysis stalls at one point: no one knows who will give the order. The Russians have motives, the Ukrainians do too, and Western services are not strangers to such operations. The only certainty is that Zelensky does not seem to intend to make their work easier.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (100 replies).
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