Von der Leyen no-confidence vote: the numbers don't add up

The math for the no-confidence motion against Von der Leyen doesn't work: the European EPP and Socialists will vote against, and most MEPs are on holiday.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

The no-confidence motion against Von der Leyen: a shot in the dark, with holidays in the mix

The attempt to bring down Ursula von der Leyen with a no-confidence motion has once again put the math of European politics on the table. The numbers, this time, don't add up. And the calendar works against it: most MEPs are on holiday, turning any vote into a lottery.

The math that doesn't work

The motion, which some welcomed with the enthusiasm of someone seeing light at the end of the tunnel, faces a stubborn reality: the largest groups, the European People's Party and the Socialists, have already made clear they will vote against. Without them, the math requires adding the liberals of Macron and other allies. And that sum, judging by appearances, is more wishful thinking than certainty.

Skepticism and the anecdote

Not everything is optimism: some argue that even if the motion went through, the replacement would be "the same or worse" and would do the same thing. A reflection that takes the edge off the moment's epic feel. Meanwhile, the spelling error "Von Der Charen" has become a small meme, praised even for its style reminiscent of Federico Jiménez Losantos. Ironies of a week in which European politics seems like a farce script.

The question remains: will the motion ever be voted on? The math says no, but politics, sometimes, laughs at math.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (11 replies).

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