Polls on regularisation: do they reflect reality or are they distorted by hoaxes?
37.6% of Spaniards support regularising migrants, according to the 40db poll for El País and Cadena Ser. Against this figure, 33% oppose it and 22% consider it acceptable. However, critical sectors argue that public opinion is being manipulated by a disinformation campaign from the far right, while others claim the results reflect real and growing opposition, fuelled by perceptions of negative impacts on housing, jobs and security.
The role of disinformation
The original story, published in El Plural, attributes the split in social perception to ignorance and to the hoaxes spread by far-right parties. The poll shows a divided country: 37.6% in favour, 33% against and 22% rating the measure as "so-so". The figure of up to half a million potential beneficiaries is at the heart of the controversy. Those who back regularisation say disinformation distorts the real level of support, while detractors argue that the outlet itself is part of the problem, by labelling as hoaxes what they see as legitimate reactions from citizens.
The critical view: more than hoaxes, everyday experiences
A majority current of opinion in the debate argues that the polls are not distorted, but capture genuine rejection based on direct observation: more squatted properties, pressure on rents, wage dumping and security problems in working-class neighbourhoods. They criticise the way pro-government media label any negative testimony as "hoaxes". The example of Switzerland is mentioned, where a referendum will be held to cap the population at 10 million, as proof that concern about immigration is not unique to Spain nor the product of disinformation.
The debate over referendums
Some participants propose putting regularisation to a referendum, citing the Swiss case. However, this proposal is viewed with suspicion by those who believe direct democracy is a right that left-wing parties avoid. Polarisation is such that any attempt at a popular vote is interpreted as a risk to the stability of the system.
The poll leaves an interpretative gap that will not be closed with more data, but with trust in the sources. While some see a citizenry confused by hoaxes, others see a citizenry confirming with their own eyes what the media deny. The debate on migrant regularisation in Spain is far from over.
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