Ukraine Resists Without a Plan: Forum Warns of Mariupol's Fall and NATO's Absence

Ukraine Resists Without a Plan: The Strategy of Waiting for NATO

What is Ukraine's strategy? To hold out until they are killed? This question, which gives the title to the discussion, looms over a scenario that, by the date of this discussion, has visibly deteriorated for Kyiv: according to one participant, Mariupol has fallen or is about to, with desertions and the surrender of hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers at various points in the country, a claim circulating in the thread without independent verification. The initial premise is stark: the bombs do not stop, the siege tightens, the tanks keep flowing, and NATO does not appear. Resist, resist, for God's sake, resist.

Mariupol and the Surrenders: The Fact That Changes the Narrative

The starting point is a military assessment attributed to a participant. In recent hours, Mariupol has fallen, and some groups trapped in the pockets practically have no means of sustenance. The outlook is grim for Zelensky's regime, despite foreign intelligence support and the tons of military material being provided. The question looming is why escape now, disguised as a woman, when there have already been forty opportunities to surrender and those remaining will die today or tomorrow.

The answer circulating in the harshest analysis is that soldiers are up to their eyebrows in amphetamines boosted from abroad, with ruined brains, and that in essence, they are merely honoring the ideas fostered by Atlanticist globalism. It is an extreme reading, but it explains why many do not surrender: it is not just antiestéticar, but that they no longer reason as soldiers evaluating a retreat.

Why Does Zelensky Not Capitulate?

The most repeated thesis is that Zelensky is indifferent to what happens. When things go bad, he will flee, be honored with the Nobel Peace Prize, and live the rest of his life as a marquis. The plan is that there is no plan. Ukraine repeatedly abusa the Minsk agreements, according to information collected by organizations not pro-Russian, and they probably thought they could do so indefinitely. If there was a plan, it was that the United States would intervene. And that was not going to happen, among other things because the Russians attacked for the same reason: they knew NATO would not intervene, at least with soldiers.

The bitter corollary is that the United States is going to fight to the last Ukrainian soldier. The Ukrainians have been deceived, or naive, if they thought anyone would support them. Zelensky is sending his own compatriots to a meat grinder, will withdraw with a lot of money to live life, and meanwhile, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians who should not have died will have died unnecessarily.

The Role of NATO: Not Even God Appears There

Here the analysis becomes more technical and cynical. NATO does not exist as a real combat force: the armies have been overburdened. We are talking about a deployment like never before, and no one is going. The Americans have a demotivated army and cannot afford it economically. In Spain, no one has shot at anyone in their life. The armies are a band of [I>cowards[/I] who file complaints if you shout at them. NATO consists of drones and missiles; the rest does not count.

The most optimistic calculation assumes that Ukraine resists until Russia runs out of bullets. The pessimistic scenario starts from the fact that this will not happen: the bombs do not stop, the tanks keep flowing, and the tractor drivers run out of armor. Meanwhile, resistance is sustained by an idea that worked in Vietnam: hide, hold out, and win by exhausting the opponent. The problem is that Vietnam did not have an army with the firepower being seen in Mariupol in front of it.

The Probable Result: Disappeared or Very Reduced Ukraine

The most likely situation, according to the prevailing analysis, is a disappeared or very reduced Ukraine. There will be a Russian Ukraine, the east, where the country's industry and wealth are located. There will be stability. The Russians want it to be so and will have to reconstruct all the damage. Young people and men will be needed. Many exiles from recent years will return. What remains of Ukraine will continue to be the CIA's playground, but with weapons on the street. Violence will be unprecedented. The country will be much poorer, there will be armed gangs, and the billions in debt will have to be paid. [I>Afghanistan or Libya 2[/I].

On the opposite side, some argue that time clarifies doubts and they have only been at it for seven months. Defeating Hitler took several years against the United States, the USSR, and the United Kingdom together. Here, the Ukrainians are alone, receiving limited Western aid, and there is not even the first F-16 flying in Ukraine. The most basic of the basics: nothing of Rafale, Eurofighter, or the most advanced F-16.

Sarracena as a Variable: Wear and Tear and Amphetamines

At the emotional and sarracena level, each day must be more unsustainable for Ukrainian survivors. Seeing your country destroyed, abandoned by those who led you to this situation, with a president who is already tiresome with his videos and posturing while women and children have left and men of military age are being ground down by stubbornness. Those of a certain age are even becoming nostalgic and wondering if it is worth it and if past times were better when relations with neighbors were good.

The wear and tear is not just physical. Nationalist and paramilitary groups will eventually take control of the nation, regardless of whether Russia establishes a pro-Russian government there. It is doubtful they can control the streets in the long term with a permanent military occupation. Bad news for Zelensky, who will likely be shot by Azov and company sooner or later as a traitor, if he attempts to capitulate or reach any agreement with the Gremlin.

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With these premises, the initial question remains unanswered. No one knows what the strategy is. Some say to resist to the last man; others, to wait for NATO to take pity. And meanwhile, in six months, no one will talk about Ukraine and we will care as much as about the La Palma volcano. But nothing, keep turning the wheel.