Trump, Iran and the shadow of a false flag

Trump, Iran and the shadow of a false flag

Donald Trump's statements about a massive attack on Iran if he is assassinated have revived an old suspicion: the staging of a false flag. In skeptical circles, it is claimed that an assassination attempt against the US president is being simulated to gain legitimacy to launch nuclear strikes on Tehran. The argument rests on the fact that Trump has already publicly announced military instructions for that scenario, which for some is the perfect alibi.

The precedent of false flag operations

A recent article about six false flag operations that changed the course of history serves as the basis for supporters of this theory. War as the continuation of politics by other means, per Clausewitz, and invented pretexts for starting conflicts are the framework. It is pointed out that history is full of orchestrated incidents used to justify military interventions, and the current tension with Iran would be a favorable scenario.

Skepticism and legal doubts

Not everyone buys the thesis. Some analyses point out that Trump's orders would not be legally binding: the final decision would fall to his successor in command. Moreover, there is doubt that American public opinion, accustomed to years of conflict, would react as expected. The question that remains is whether there is really anything more than bombastic statements.

The detail that doesn't add up

While some see a hatched plan, others stress the lack of concrete evidence. What does exist is a climate of maximum tension: Iran says it is ready for war, and Washington keeps reinforcing its military presence. But the line between real preparation and a false flag narrative is becoming increasingly blurred. The discussion, far from being settled, is only just beginning.