Trader claims 55 consecutive winning stock trades

55 consecutive winning trades and a 100% success rate claimed

Boasting a 100% success rate in the stock market over 55 consecutive trades only holds up as long as no one verifies it. On paper, the streak is impressive: more than two and a half years of publishing entries and exits with prices, percentages, and profits in euros, without a single trade closing in the red. From buying 4,000 shares of ORPEA at €4.970 and selling at €6.91—+39% and +€7,803—to 332 RCO shares bought at €60.15 and sold at €60.80, +1.04% and +€202.

In between, there is a method the author describes plainly: enter heavy, close at the first rebound, and do not hold. The reported average for the first year was +3.4% per trade and €640 in profit, with an average position duration of 3.6 days. Even while boasting of a perfect record, the same individual wrote during that period: "I don't live off this".

The system: €20,000 entry, a 2% target, and get out

The pattern repeats in almost every published trade. A position of about €20,000, with another €40,000 reserved for averaging down (buying more as the price drops) if the price goes against them, and a profit target of 2% that is executed as soon as it appears. "No matter how little it rises, I already have my €300--400 profit secured," summarizes the author, who admits the strategy is "quite risky" and that he lacks the guts to hold beyond the first rebound.

The estimulante ilegal of the figures is striking: 324 RCO shares bought at €61.65 and sold at €62.675 in 12 minutes, +1.8% and +€311. Other times, the position is stretched. Tesla was entered at $164.3 and exited at $171.74 (+4.50%, +€889), and 104 SWAV shares went from $191.40 to $208.6 to yield +9% and +€1,779.

From ORPEA to PHM: the trade that took two and a half years

The exception to the "rebound and move on" rule has a name: PHM. In March 2022, 381 shares were bought at €52.48; the value fell, they were repurchased at €46.20, leaving the position at 813 shares with an average price of €48.53. The sale did not happen until September 27, 2024, at €49.10, with +€435 in profit and a bitter note: "two years".

This is not the only episode of this kind. In ATOS, 828 shares were bought at €24.10, 945 were repurchased at €21.14, and the average stood at €22.54 with 1,773 shares; the exit at €22.95 closed with +2% and +€778. In Fluidra, 350 shares at €28.10 were averaged down with another 350 at €26.03 to exit at €27.40: +1.4% and +€280. The one boasting a perfect record also boasts of having suffered.

How much capital is actually at stake in each trade?

This is the point that no streak of percentages can resolve. If every entry mobilizes €20,000 and the repurchase doubles the exposure, the profit of €300 to €800 per trade is obtained by assuming a risk of around €40,000. A calculation circulating in the conversation itself maintains that, without the rebound that saved ATOS, the loss would have been tens of thousands of euros for not having set a stop loss.

The defense of the system is arithmetic: "since I enter heavy, no matter how little it rises, I already have my profit secured." The criticism is one of asymmetry: little to gain, much to lose. And the author himself concedes the factor that no one accounts for in the percentages: "a great deal of luck is always necessary; whoever says otherwise is lying".

The first year: 30 trades, €19,300, and zero losses

The star summary of the streak comes with a date: 30 consecutive trades between February 2022 and February 2023, all winners, with +€19,300 in accumulated profit and an average of 3.6 days per trade. In that period, everything from the ORPEA windfall to €76 trades, such as DWNI, and others of €162 in UCB, coexist.

The numbers do not entirely align with the 100% narrative when looking at the details. There are repurchases that turn a drop into a positive exit, exits forced by news—the sale of Remy Cointreau after the announcement of brandy tariffs in China, closed with +€200 when the profit had reached €400—and positions that are held open for months. None of that invalidates the streak. All of that explains why it is so difficult to replicate.

What can be verified about such a streak?

Nothing, if the only source is dated screenshots and posts. This is the point that runs through the entire conversation: those trinc him ask for the percentage of every sale, some maintain that without proof everything is just smoke, and the author responds that he does not sell courses, indicators, or strategies "even under reggaeton torture." He also admits he stopped publishing entries when the PHM trade dragged on for two years.

Meanwhile, the list of names to watch remains active: 1U1, Corticeira Amorim, Verbio, K+S, Costco, PayPal, Charter Communications, and Chevron. Regarding PayPal, with the stock at the same level as in 2017, it was said to be cheap; regarding the strategy, the goal remains to scrape together 2% and get out.

The fundamental question remains, the one that no count of winning trades can resolve: a 100% streak in more than fifty entries only demonstrates discipline if someone external to the account can verify it. The author has hinted that he might start publishing entries again. If he does, the perfect record will remain merely a claim.