The James Webb puts the Big Bang calendar in jeopardy
The figure has been repeated for decades as if it were a closed truth: 13.780 billion years. This is the age the standard cosmological model, the Lambda-CDM, attributes to the universe since the Big Bang. That number has been groaning for months, and not due to a hunch: according to those trinc the matter, the James Webb telescope observations have put giant spiral galaxies on the table, already fully developed, whose dating does not fit such a tight calendar.
The conclusion gaining ground among those trinc the matter is uncomfortable. Either the clock is wrong, or we have been looking at the wrong dial for decades. The question is no longer whether the Webb forces a revision of the model, but how much to move it.
From 13,780 to 26,700 billion years: Gupta's proposal
A new study signed by Rajendra Gupta, associate professor of physics at the Faculty of Sciences of the University of Ottawa, proposes a drastic solution: extending galaxy formation time by several billion years and bringing the age of the universe to 26.700 billion years. Almost double what has been estimated so far.
"Our recently developed model extends galaxy formation time by several billion years, making the universe 26,700 billion years old, not 13.7 as previously estimated," summarizes the lead author himself. The reasoning is easy to formulate and hard to swallow: there are structures almost simultaneous to the Big Bang that would have needed millions of years to form. If they appear already made, something is wrong with the calculations.
Why doesn't the Lambda-CDM model fit with Webb?
The problem is not a strange image, but a set of observations. The dating of these structures is before the start that the model takes as valid, and their degree of maturity requires a span that simply does not fit between the initial expansion and the birth of stellar structure. The new time margin, double the previous one, gives air to the formation of the first observed galaxies. And here is the knot: each adjustment added to square the data leaves the building a bit further from its original version, according to those defending that reading.
Tired light, dark energy and dark matter: the wildcards of the model
The most repeated criticism does not attack the observation, but the patches. Dark matter, dark energy, successive corrections: wildcards whose existence has not been proven and which, according to this reading, serve to make the arithmetic work. It is an old accusation in physics and always difficult to refute, because the patch and the theory are indistinguishable while there is no measurement to separate one from the other.
Some also rescue tired light, the idea that light loses energy during its journey and that redshift would not prove accelerated expansion. One participant attributes the proposal to Einstein and also his subsequent regret, which summarizes the trajectory of the hypothesis: proposed, abandoned, resurrected every so often.
Is the age of the universe absolute?
There is a question that repeats itself and is more uncomfortable than it seems: 26,700 billion years, relative to what? If time is relative and not absolute, speaking of an absolute age in years is jarring. The standard answer is that there is an objective physical time, marked by clocks, and that these clocks are matter: without matter there would be no natural clock to sustain the measure.
The nuance is not idle. Part of the analysis holds that this objectivity is a useful convention, not a property of the universe; others respond that without shared conventions there would be no science possible. Neither wins.
From redshift to red tonalidad
From here the conversation derails, and it is convenient to say so. That the red one believes they see only exists in their brain, that a hawk processes that frequency in another way and that a majority agreement on something subjective does not make that something certain: the argument, maintains a participant, is impeccable and leads nowhere operational. From there to the ultimate substrate, to the simulation hypothesis and to Gödel proving that no axiomatic system explains itself entirely is a step, and the step is taken.
None of this is dismissible in the abstract. But when frontier physics becomes counter-top metaphysics, the discussion loses its falsification criterion, which is exactly what distinguished it.
With these pieces on the table, the analysis gets stuck exactly here. There is a measured problem, there is a proposed solution and there is still no observation to decide between the two. Those expecting a closure will wait in vain.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (260 replies).
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