Spanish forum user claims only one in five peers has children

A 35-year-old Spaniard reports that just 20% of his acquaintances have kids, citing INE data on childlessness among women.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Spanish forum user claims only one in five peers has children
Spanish forum user claims only one in five peers have children

A man nearing 35 tallied his closest circle: friend couples, neighbors, and schoolmates aged 30 to 40. By his count, only one in five has children. Most of that 20% stopped at one child. Only one couple, both in their forties, is expecting a third. The rest rule it out due to laziness, age, or instability. The lingering question is what becomes of the 80% who will never have descendants? Inheritance, care, and pensions.

While not official statistics, users linked this anecdote to demographic trends. The debate quickly shifted to birth rates as a symptom rather than a cause.

Why fewer children are born after age 35

The average age for a first child has shifted into the early thirties. Several examples confirm this: one couple waited until 32 and 33, another married at 27 and had a child at 28, and a group had all children when parents were near 40. The pattern holds: people wait for job stability, solid relationships, and housing. By then, the biological clock is ticking against them.

Some argue the cause is purely economic. Bad jobs, expensive apartments, terrible bosses, and minimal personal lives. How bring a child into that? It’s not rhetorical. Others point to cultural shifts: the traditional path of studying, working, buying a house, and having kids is outdated. Many simply don’t want children; they dislike them or refuse lifelong responsibility.

Data cited aligns with this view. 30% of Spanish women over 45 have no children, a historic high. Over half of women aged 30-34 are childless. For those 35-39, it drops to 27.8%, and to 19% at age 40. These figures show a structural trend, not a temporary dip.

Clash between viewing low births as good news vs. a problem

The conversation split immediately. One side argues low birth rates are good news: we are a plague, the planet is overpopulated, and nature will balance things. The Black Death improved survivors' lives. Population growth only benefits those wanting more soldiers and consumers.

The opposing block uses an economic argument: geniuses who save us are a tiny fraction of the population. If the population shrinks too much, you lose valuable people. They add that food is abundant; resources aren't lacking, but willingness is.

A third diagnosis emerges: the issue isn't just fewer births, but who is having them. Total population grows via migration while native birth rates plummet. This suggests a demographic replacement nobody is addressing directly.

The calculation nobody wants to make: inheritance, care, and pensions

No definitive answer emerged for the fate of the childless 80%. But the economic subtext is clear. Without children, there are no natural caregivers, direct heirs, or support for the pension pyramid. The current system depends on each generation being at least as large as the previous one.

Some see opportunity: fewer people means less spending and constraints. Not having kids positions you higher financially, reducing expenses and ties. Some envision Spain with 25 million inhabitants, cheap houses, and surplus jobs, with no one paying pensions or maintaining bureaucrats. Even optimists admit this adjustment won't happen automatically; someone must fill the gap.

The analysis stalls at the same point. Low birth rates aren't isolated; they result from labor models, housing prices, and effort cultures that no longer pay off. Meanwhile, time runs out for those still considering parenthood.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (155 replies).

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