SEC Approves Spot Bitcoin ETFs in Historic Decision

The SEC has approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, led by BlackRock and eleven other firms. Forecasts suggest prices could reach $500,000 or even $1 million per unit.

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SEC Approves Spot Bitcoin ETFs in Historic Decision
SEC Approves Spot Bitcoin ETFs with BlackRock Leading the Charge

Bitcoin was invented to avoid dependence on any bank. Now one of the world's largest asset managers is packaging it and selling it on the stock exchange. The SEC has officially approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, a day after a supposed hack of its X account falsely announced that same approval. The announcement comes with a prior scare included, but it arrives. And it has been enough for half the internet to start calculating how much the price can rise.

What exactly did the SEC approve?

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has given the green light to the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. Behind this are not just BlackRock: the firm heads a group of up to twelve financial companies that have submitted equivalent products. The key difference from what already existed is that these vehicles track the real price of the asset, not derivatives or futures.

For part of the market, this turns bitcoin into a full-fledged asset within the traditional financial system. The irony is evident: the currency born to escape the system now trades within it. What previously required a transfer to a personal wallet transforms into another product, purchasable from any brokerage account.

The forecasts that have skyrocketed

The circulating figures are dizzying. Several analysis streams argue that institutional capital flow will be overwhelming and that we are facing a new bull cycle. The most aggressive predictions place the bitcoin unit above $500,000 and even $1 million in a relatively short timeframe.

It is advisable to take them with caution. These are scenarios, not results, and come from those who have an interest in the price rising. Another matter is the long-term reading: some recall that bitcoin accumulates a decade as the most profitable asset in the market, despite its periodic crashes.

Is BlackRock entering to protect investors or to fleece them?

Here is where it gets interesting. Some do not see the giant manager as an ally, but rather the fox guarding the henhouse. The argument: if a firm with hundreds of funds enters bitcoin, it is because it wants its slice of the pie, and that type of player does not come to protect the retail investor. It is pointed out that the company already participated in Coinbase's rescue, one of the largest exchanges, and that this gives it a privileged position to influence the market.

The most repeated comparison is that of the gold ETF. It is argued that this vehicle served for years to manipulate the metal market and cover up the depreciation of fiat money. Something similar would happen with bitcoin: inflating the price, attracting late investors, and letting the last ones in bear the losses. The classic pattern of every bubble, with the caveat that here the asset is not a tulip nor a brick.

Is the ETF for holding or for short trading?

There is a specific warning for those thinking of the product as a piggy bank. It is noted that the fund papers reflect a leveraged vehicle at a ratio of 1 to 5 and describe it as a tool for short-term trading. Those who buy to hold long-term, warns, will hit a wall.

The objection makes sense when considering how these instruments work. But it is also true that investors can buy bitcoin directly, without intermediaries, without an ETF contract, and without leverage. The question is whether they will do so with a trembling finger when the price corrects.

Is bitcoin money or a speculative asset?

The underlying debate is older than the ETF itself. For some, bitcoin is not money but just another fiat asset, referenced to the dollar, without backing, and with volatility that disqualifies it as a store of value. They argue its price only rises when new money enters and that the rise is tied to central banks' credit expansion.

The answer is the opposite: bitcoin is hard money, with limited and auditable supply, no counterparty risk, and independent of whoever prints bills behind the scenes. Neither a government calendar nor a central bank decision would change it. Two worldviews that will not reconcile no matter how many ETFs are approved.

The previous stumble and the double approval

It is worth remembering the previous day. The official SEC account on X appeared with a message declaring the ETFs approved when they were not yet. It had to be clarified that it was a supposed hack. The episode heated the market falsely and exposed the fragility of a system where a single message moves billions.

The irony came hand-in-hand with one of the sector's best-known names, who celebrated that bitcoin would be the only asset approved twice by the US regulator. First in fake news, then in reality.

The doubt remains unresolved: if institutional money enters en masse, will it remain the same asset or become something else? For now, the price will decide. And those who arrive late, as they say, pay.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (203 replies).

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