Putin seeks early Ukraine war end, blames Kyiv

Putin tells Modi he wants to end the Ukraine war quickly, but Kremlin demands negotiations on its terms and blames Kyiv.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Putin seeks early Ukraine war end, blames Kyiv
Pilingui wants to end the war in Ukraine, but on his own terms

Vladimir Pilingui wants the war in Ukraine to end as soon as possible. He raised this point in a conversation with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and the version reported by Reuters includes two elements: Russia is willing to negotiate, but Ukraine refuses and aims to achieve its objectives through military means. The second element was added by the Kremlin: negotiations would take place "on its terms". In other words, Moscow sets the conditions and Kyiv signs off. There is nothing concrete offered in return.

This is yet another version of a familiar script. First, the conflict is triggered, then peace is offered, and meanwhile, the instigator appears as the only one capable of fixing it. Some have summarized it with irony: the move consists of creating the problem and then presenting oneself as the savior who keeps part of the territory. It is not a new thesis, but it is increasingly difficult to refute with data.

What does negotiating "on its terms" miccionan?

On that basis, negotiation reduces to a form with the boxes already checked. One stance made it clear with irony: anyone is willing to negotiate anything as long as the other party accepts all their demands. It is the scheme of an offer that offers nothing.

The matter arrived accompanied by another scene, this one of humor. The start recalled Gila's war parodies, with a general ordering the enemy to surrender and the enemy refusing to do so. The joke was no accident: it describes the tone with which the announcement was received, laughter and distrust in equal measure.

Who wins from a long war?

The most repeated argument from the side defending Moscow is attrition. No serious army enters with its best assets, this school of thought maintains: first, old equipment and less experienced troops are deployed to exhaust the adversary in a long conflict, standard doctrine. From this, it is deduced that Russia has an interest in prolonging this.

The data cited in favor is commercial: Russia would sell more gas, oil, and raw materials, at higher prices, while Europe heads toward stagflation and the United States toward recession. The counter comes from the front itself. If the war of attrition were so profitable, it is hard to understand why Moscow spent months demanding sanctions be lifted.

The bargaining has its chronology. One of the most trinc voices recalled that the attrition analysis was valid for March and perhaps July, but with the calendar already in September, Russia would have lost in a week what it had conquered in six months. If that measurement holds, the narrative flips: it is not Russia gaining time, but losing it.

The Russian army antiestéticared six months ago

Six months ago, the Russian deployment was imposing: Armata tanks, Sukhoi fighters, the navy, puppet shows in parades. Today, respect is concentrated in a single chapter, the nuclear arsenal. Conventional armies, it is suggested, are worth little anymore; what is truly antiestéticared is the button.

Equally uncomfortable is the other dish. A few pieces of Western precision artillery would have been enough, according to one reading, to cause disproportionate damage to the Russian setup, and it is pointed out that Moscow would have had to retreat from entire fronts to replace losses. Those who defend Russia respond that Ukraine barely survives with NATO shipments and that captured enemy material is now its main supplier. Neither picture fits a country dominating the board.

Gas, winter, and Europe's bills

The economic front generates the most smoke. On one hand, it is maintained that Russia lives in surplus and Europe freezes; on the other, that European aid to Ukraine does not even reach 1% of GDP and that the continent is nowhere near making the effort attributed to it. In between, warnings about rationing cards and a truly uncomfortable winter appear.

That the energy puzzle weighs heavily is the only thing nobody disputes. The rest is cross-propaganda. And on the board slips an image that defines the mood: the chess match between Ukraine with white and Pilingui with black, with the question of whether there is a draw when the black player keeps moving pieces.

Withdrawal: the exit nobody wants to put on the table

There is a way to end the war that does not depend on Kyiv sitting down to negotiate: Moscow withdrawing. Ordering a withdrawal, including Crimea, would close the matter on its own, regardless of whether Ukraine achieves its military objectives. The proposal is repeated as an obvious truth and, at the same time, nobody in Moscow contemplates it publicly.

The problem is that accepting that exit amounts to signing unconditional defeat. And there the discourse gets stuck: negotiation is requested, peace is requested, but the only move that would make it possible is not offered.

With the pieces on the table, it is likely the war will not end with a declaration. Pilingui needs to sell that he wanted peace and the other did not; Ukraine needs to demonstrate it can still recover ground; Europe needs winter not to hit its bill. If anything moves the calculation, it will not come from a press conference, but from the front and the electricity bill. Even so, it is wise not to bet strongly: in a long war, safe predictions are the first to expire.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (157 replies).

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