PSOE Slumps, Sánchez Holds On: A Legislature Without Laws

Public debt exceeds €1.5 trillion while the PSOE fails to pass laws. Analysis of the electoral cushion keeping Sánchez in power.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

PSOE Slumps, Sánchez Holds On: A Legislature Without Laws
Sánchez Won't Fall: The Zombie Legislature Keeps Getting Paid

Can a government stay standing without passing a single law? This is the question hovering over every conversation about the immediate future of the legislature. The thesis gaining weight among analysts and observers is that the Prime Minister does not resign, does not call elections, and does not fall: he simply manages the noise. One scandal a week, one open front every fifteen days—the mudslinging, the far-right, Palestine—and the payment machine keeps running smoothly. The hypothesis of a political corpse that doesn't smell bad enough yet for his own party to make a move has settled into the economic analysis of Spanish politics.

The PSOE That Won 212 Seats Can't Pass Budgets Today

The comparison stings. That PSOE which reached **212 seats** is today a party unable to get a law through and, according to the most repeated diagnosis, walking towards the abyss while no one in leadership lifts a finger. The central argument isn't ideological, it's arithmetic: without budgets there is no management, and without management only propaganda remains. The **BOE** (Official State Gazette) has become the real battlefield, with the publication of norms held back until after each electoral event, according to a participant.

Some argue the President prefers to die at the polls—where he can manipulate the narrative and run a victim campaign—rather than in a motion of censure in Congress. It's a hypothesis, not a fact, but it fits the pattern: every time the judicial net tightens, a letter, an announcement, or a weekend reflection appears.

Debt Exceeds €1.5 Trillion: The Data Missing From Campaigns

While the political circus consumes all attention, Spanish public debt has surpassed the **€1.5 trillion** barrier, a historic high, according to a message in the thread. It is the figure no rally mentions and explains why the debate on public spending has become uncomfortable for everyone. The adjustments coming—cutting subsidies, public 'chiringuitos' (funded entities), money for grantees, pensions—would touch precisely the clientele that sustains the vote, according to a participant.

From this arises the most circulating concept: **subsidized voting**. The thesis is that a large part of the electorate votes not out of conviction but because of their paycheck, and if that money disappeared, so would the motive to vote. The problem for that theory is that, with subsidized voting working at full capacity, the PSOE lost the last elections anyway.

Why Don't Ministers Move Against Sánchez?

Because their position depends on swallowing pride. The most repeated explanation is simple and unheroic: when the salary is paid by the taxpayer and the appointment signed by the boss, you swallow everything. Ministers keep their heads down, read the mud, and wait. The minister talked about most these days appears with a bad face and nerves, according to the reading made of her public interventions.

The underlying calculation is that the PSOE's electoral cushion—and also the PP's—is so thick it allows enduring almost anything. They feed off each other: an obscene circus calling to the lowest instincts and keeping the system in perfect health. The day one of the two franchises stops being useful, another will be promoted.



PP Has No Program: Just Waiting For Wear And Tear

The opposition offers no articulated alternative either. The dominant diagnosis is that the PP has no program, just waiting for their voters to show up and wear-and-tear to do the work. Feijoo would lack **four MPs** to push through a motion of censure, according to the count circulating, and that scenario is not on the table.

The other route considered is **Junts**. The hypothesis of an agreement with Catalan independents is discussed with skepticism: if agreed upon, Article 155 (central government intervention) applies within six months and the independentist leader ends up in the North Pole. A flawless plan, some joke. The answer is always the same: everything is negotiable, and all parties end up doing what they said they never would.

European Elections As Thermometer And Propaganda Factor

The European electoral event functions as an indirect plebiscite. The propaganda is brutal: posters of the socialist candidate everywhere, contamination of the narrative in young layers starting to flirt with the far-right, collectives and minorities absorbed by the dominant discourse. If the result is a socialist debacle, the most repeated analysis points to it not being antiestéticar of the PP—considered a collection of useless people—but antiestéticar of their own party. Hyenas wait for the animal to bleed.

The scenario drawn has two branches. If the European elections go well, the President will say the people have acquitted him and walk over judges like a triumphal arch. If they go badly, he calls elections, annuls the amnesty, and presents himself as Spain's savior against the far-right. Both branches lead to the same place: he stays.



He has been declared dead so many times and he is still there. Some time will be definitive, but this time, with these numbers and this cushion, it doesn't have to be.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (118 replies).

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