PP and Vox in Moncloa: the hard line the EU will block
Squatting, repeat offenders, longer sentences and removing Tezanos: PP and Vox's cheap promises for 2027 collide with the EU and with doubts over whether a coalition will happen.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
PP and Vox in Moncloa: the hard line the EU won't allow
Cheap and realistic measures for a PP-Vox government in 2027? The list sounds like an election campaign: ending squatting, cracking down on repeat offenders and lengthening sentences. The problem is that the EU framework and international treaties leave little room for manoeuvre. Expelling irregular migrants, for example, depends on their countries accepting them, and unaccompanied minors have legal protection.
The mirage of the iron fist
Add another "zero-cost" measure: removing José Félix Tezanos as president of the CIS (Spain's official polling institute). At 80, his political wear is obvious, but replacing him would not change the country's economic course. The same logic applies to harsher sentences: promising tougher penalties is free, but their real effect on crime is debatable and clashes with fundamental rights.
Will there be a coalition, or will it stay an attempt?
The first thing to rule out is that the deal ever materialises. One line of thought holds that the PP will win an absolute majority by absorbing disillusioned socialist voters, with no need for Vox. Another recalls Feijóo's anti-Vox campaign and predicts that, if he falls short of that majority, he will first demand Vox's vote in exchange for nothing and then the PSOE's, as he already did in the previous term.
The scepticism rests on memory: the Rajoy-Almeida pattern does not invite anyone to imagine a radical shift. A coalition – if it happens – could end up raising taxes and applying the Agenda 2030 it denounces today. The question, with 2027 on the horizon, is whether the PP prefers to govern with Vox or to govern without doing anything.
Cheap and realistic measures for a PP-Vox government in 2027? The list sounds like an election campaign: ending squatting, cracking down on repeat offenders and lengthening sentences. The problem is that the EU framework and international treaties leave little room for manoeuvre. Expelling irregular migrants, for example, depends on their countries accepting them, and unaccompanied minors have legal protection.
The mirage of the iron fist
Add another "zero-cost" measure: removing José Félix Tezanos as president of the CIS (Spain's official polling institute). At 80, his political wear is obvious, but replacing him would not change the country's economic course. The same logic applies to harsher sentences: promising tougher penalties is free, but their real effect on crime is debatable and clashes with fundamental rights.
Will there be a coalition, or will it stay an attempt?
The first thing to rule out is that the deal ever materialises. One line of thought holds that the PP will win an absolute majority by absorbing disillusioned socialist voters, with no need for Vox. Another recalls Feijóo's anti-Vox campaign and predicts that, if he falls short of that majority, he will first demand Vox's vote in exchange for nothing and then the PSOE's, as he already did in the previous term.
The scepticism rests on memory: the Rajoy-Almeida pattern does not invite anyone to imagine a radical shift. A coalition – if it happens – could end up raising taxes and applying the Agenda 2030 it denounces today. The question, with 2027 on the horizon, is whether the PP prefers to govern with Vox or to govern without doing anything.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (14 replies).
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