Polls give pro-chat control parties over 50% of the vote. The right's win is overwhelming.

A poll with fieldwork in September 2026 gives the PP 31.6% and Vox 18.4%, putting the right above 50% of the vote. The PSOE stands at 27.4% and Sumar at 5.6%.

A poll by **40dB** with fieldwork in September 2026 puts the **PP** at **31.6%** of the vote and **Vox** at **18.4%**. Added together, both parties exceed the 50% threshold that the poll itself highlights as its headline. The **PSOE** comes in at **27.4%**, more than four points behind the PP.

## What the poll numbers say

The breakdown published by 40dB leaves the PP as the leading force with **31.6%**, trinc by the PSOE with **27.4%**. Vox, with **18.4%**, is the third-largest force and the one providing the boost that takes the right-wing bloc above half of the estimated vote.

Further down, Sumar gets **5.6%** and Podemos **2.7%**. SALF appears with **2.0%**. These percentages, taken together, leave the space to the left of the PSOE far behind the two major parties.

## The 50% threshold and what it measures

The standout figure is that the right holds at **50%**. This is not an absolute majority of seats, but the sum of the estimated vote shares of the PP and Vox in this particular poll.

The poll was conducted by **40dB**, and its fieldwork corresponds to **September 2026**, according to the released data. Any reading about seats or forming a government requires waiting for polls with seat projections and actual election results.

## An electoral landscape still up in the air

The publication of this poll comes amid speculation about the next general election in Spain, expected in **2026**. The percentages from 40dB fuel that debate, but a poll does not decide an election.

Polls are snapshots of the moment the fieldwork was carried out, not firm forecasts. These figures should be treated for what they are: an estimate with a margin of error, not a result.