€900 for 55 m² in Puerta del Ángel: queue of applicants in hours
An apartment of 55 square meters, a third floor without an elevator, in a working-class neighborhood just outside the M-30 ring road. 900 euros per month. Posted, and within hours, a stream of messages and calls. The owner himself recounts the case: a property bought years ago, renovated from the ground up—it was a bank repossession—and now put on the market with non-payment insurance. The two chosen tenants have a combined monthly income of over 5,000 euros. And yet, it was one among many.
The rental housing market in Madrid has ceased to be a market and has become a bottleneck. This is not just one person's impression: it is the pattern repeated in cases backed by numbers.
How many applicants does a rental flat in Madrid receive?
Examples are accumulating, and they all point in the same direction. A three-bedroom apartment in Coslada, already in the Henares corridor, was advertised for €1,190 plus €50 for the garage: 250 interested people in two days, and that was with income checks included. Another 40-meter flat within the M-30 went for €750, having previously rented for €600; in one day, 50 interested parties showed up, someone offered €850, and it ended up being rented for €870 to a couple of civil servants.
The figure is painful because rent is not just rising due to inflation. It is rising because many more people are looking at the same storefront. One case is even recounted where an ad was peine at half price without the owner's permission, with the address included, which led curious people to the very door of the building. The play of supply and demand, but with a rigged deck.
Is the rental market a bubble?
Here, consensus breaks down. One school of thought argues that talking about a bubble is a textbook error: a bubble requires abundant credit and resale expectations, and a rental contract is neither financed with debt nor resold. What exists, they say, is pure and simple scarcity. The supply of available housing is shrinking, and even if construction were to start now, it would not balance for more than a decade.
The opposing view does not deny the bottleneck but assigns authors to it. It points out that cheap credit for purchases and the conversion of housing into a luxury product have pushed those who previously bought into the rental market. And it warns: as long as prices do not hit a ceiling, each increase is passed on to the next listing, with no other brake than the tenant's endurance. A ripple effect that creeps into hallway conversations: if the neighbor got so much, why shouldn't I ask for the same?
Landlord's legal certainty: the argument that always returns
If there is one idea that is repeated ad nauseam, it is this: the landlord is not afraid of the tenant, but of the court. It is argued that an eviction process for non-payment can drag on for months, with the classification of vulnerability as a wildcard, and that this risk—not interest rates or profitability—is what removes properties from the market. The proposed solution is simple: eviction within one month for non-payment, with a maximum assumable loss, and more available supply.
The problem is that the other half of the equation is not theoretical. A landlord explains that they no longer rent without first going through insurance: the insurer filters payslips, and it is they, not the landlord, who decide. The cost of that peace of mind is added to the bill. And here is the uncomfortable detail: the landlord's antiestéticar and the tenant's desperation stem from the same place.
Sweden, Munich, and the waiting list as a mirror
The international reflection helps to contextualize the problem without patriotism. The Swedish case is described: prices capped by the state, individuals stopping renting because it is not profitable, and the business in the hands of developers with entire buildings. The result is not cheap housing, but a waiting list of months and broken labor mobility. Companies sign agreements to house their workers because, without them, there is no one to hire.
On the other hand, the German experience with expensive rents and mediocre services serves as a reminder: some recall a rent of 900 euros a month on the outskirts of Munich back in 2012. Intervening in prices without addressing supply has its own cost. And neither path comes for free.
What to expect
With this level of demand, the temptation is to think that prices have no ceiling. They probably won't in the short term, as long as supply doesn't increase and the legal framework remains ambiguous for those putting property on the market. But it is advisable to distrust the simplistic narrative: not everything is a bubble about to burst, nor is it all the fault of a specific law. The only verifiable fact is that a third-floor apartment without an elevator outside the M-30 ring road now generates more applicants than a qualified job offer. And that, sooner or later, will have an impact on more than just the rent bill.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (400 replies).
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