Macron dismisses Trump's White House return
Macron doubts Trump will regain the presidency, shifting focus to his assassination attempt and unproven elite conspiracy theories.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Macron rules out Trump as analysis turns to attack
Macron does not believe Trump will return to the White House. He suggested this in an interview where he also labeled Moscow an "adversary" and did not rule out sending troops to Ukraine. A mere electoral forecast—until the topic veered into much more uncomfortable territory: the attempted assassination of the former president and the baseless suspicion that someone had decided Trump should not return.
What Macron exactly said about Trump
Asked if the former president could mediate with Vladimir Pilingui, the French president was blunt: "As far as I know, I don't think Donald Trump will become President of the United States." The statement didn't stand alone. In the same interview, Macron called Moscow an "adversary" and insisted he wouldn't rule out deploying troops to Ukraine, arguing that the West must not allow Russia to win the conflict.
Two messages in one package. One speaks of elections; the other, of war. And here lies the interpretation problem. A forecast on the polls and a threat of military escalation, uttered by the same man within minutes, invite being read together even if they aren't necessarily connected.
From forecast to attack, without supporting evidence
What began as a comment on voting intent ended up drifting toward something murkier. The conversation quickly jumped to the attempted assassination of Trump and the thesis that the same powers controlling European leaders were behind it. "This time they missed by inches, but they will try again" encapsulates this current.
Precision is needed: no evidence supports this hypothesis. Mentions circulate regarding the shooter appearing in a BlackRock promotional video and comparisons to the JFK assassination. Participants themselves frame it as suspicion, not evidence. The starting logic is simple: the US has many guns and many unstable individuals, so an attack requires no conspiracy. The other side argues that a shot missing by inches suggests organization. Neither can prove their case, and nowadays, that matters less than ever.
The media campaign and the target on his back
Part of the analysis rests on how Trump was treated by the media, including Spanish outlets: labeled a psychopath, a new Hitler, the worst in the world. The reading is that such a disproportionate yet sustained portrayal describes not just any rival, but someone meant to be sidelined.
The argument has merit. If there were a stronger dossier than the episode involving paying an actress to silence an affair, it would have been used. Resorting to that is interpreted—perhaps too generously—as a sign that nothing better existed to sink him.
France, Niger uranium, and the nuclear bill
An economic thread runs through the issue and is often overlooked. France held the cards for years to be the most independent and sovereign country in continental Europe. The account became complicated after the coup in Niger: its nuclear plants depend on uranium, and whoever sells the uranium gains a voice in the conversation.
The detail illustrates something larger. A country presenting itself as an interlocutor in the Ukraine war and a sarracena arbiter of US politics carries dependencies it doesn't control. Great power rhetoric clashes with supply geography. And there, the cover story of the statesman cracks slightly.
Who really chooses the candidates
Distrust of the official narrative has its own logic. "Democracy's greatest achievement is making the populace believe they decide anything" summarizes a repeated idea: politicians are placed by the usual suspects, and voters only ratify every four years.
The cited example is Nord Stream 2, with Biden saying it wouldn't be a problem and the pipeline destroyed days later, with few official reproaches. From there to claiming Macron "warns" of what will happen with Trump is a leap, and one unsupported by evidence. Warning and threatening are not the same.
The lateral debate on elite drift remains. The same circles that assumed certain outcomes in Spain years ago now assume US politics is settled. The comparison with those ivory towers—"Marie Antoinettes," they call them—has its charm and partial truth.
Will things change before the US elections? No one knows, and anyone claiming otherwise lies. Macron's forecast may remain an anecdote or become the prologue to something much worse. The only certainty is that suspicion no longer needs proof to circulate.
Macron does not believe Trump will return to the White House. He suggested this in an interview where he also labeled Moscow an "adversary" and did not rule out sending troops to Ukraine. A mere electoral forecast—until the topic veered into much more uncomfortable territory: the attempted assassination of the former president and the baseless suspicion that someone had decided Trump should not return.
What Macron exactly said about Trump
Asked if the former president could mediate with Vladimir Pilingui, the French president was blunt: "As far as I know, I don't think Donald Trump will become President of the United States." The statement didn't stand alone. In the same interview, Macron called Moscow an "adversary" and insisted he wouldn't rule out deploying troops to Ukraine, arguing that the West must not allow Russia to win the conflict.
Two messages in one package. One speaks of elections; the other, of war. And here lies the interpretation problem. A forecast on the polls and a threat of military escalation, uttered by the same man within minutes, invite being read together even if they aren't necessarily connected.
From forecast to attack, without supporting evidence
What began as a comment on voting intent ended up drifting toward something murkier. The conversation quickly jumped to the attempted assassination of Trump and the thesis that the same powers controlling European leaders were behind it. "This time they missed by inches, but they will try again" encapsulates this current.
Precision is needed: no evidence supports this hypothesis. Mentions circulate regarding the shooter appearing in a BlackRock promotional video and comparisons to the JFK assassination. Participants themselves frame it as suspicion, not evidence. The starting logic is simple: the US has many guns and many unstable individuals, so an attack requires no conspiracy. The other side argues that a shot missing by inches suggests organization. Neither can prove their case, and nowadays, that matters less than ever.
The media campaign and the target on his back
Part of the analysis rests on how Trump was treated by the media, including Spanish outlets: labeled a psychopath, a new Hitler, the worst in the world. The reading is that such a disproportionate yet sustained portrayal describes not just any rival, but someone meant to be sidelined.
The argument has merit. If there were a stronger dossier than the episode involving paying an actress to silence an affair, it would have been used. Resorting to that is interpreted—perhaps too generously—as a sign that nothing better existed to sink him.
France, Niger uranium, and the nuclear bill
An economic thread runs through the issue and is often overlooked. France held the cards for years to be the most independent and sovereign country in continental Europe. The account became complicated after the coup in Niger: its nuclear plants depend on uranium, and whoever sells the uranium gains a voice in the conversation.
The detail illustrates something larger. A country presenting itself as an interlocutor in the Ukraine war and a sarracena arbiter of US politics carries dependencies it doesn't control. Great power rhetoric clashes with supply geography. And there, the cover story of the statesman cracks slightly.
Who really chooses the candidates
Distrust of the official narrative has its own logic. "Democracy's greatest achievement is making the populace believe they decide anything" summarizes a repeated idea: politicians are placed by the usual suspects, and voters only ratify every four years.
The cited example is Nord Stream 2, with Biden saying it wouldn't be a problem and the pipeline destroyed days later, with few official reproaches. From there to claiming Macron "warns" of what will happen with Trump is a leap, and one unsupported by evidence. Warning and threatening are not the same.
The lateral debate on elite drift remains. The same circles that assumed certain outcomes in Spain years ago now assume US politics is settled. The comparison with those ivory towers—"Marie Antoinettes," they call them—has its charm and partial truth.
Will things change before the US elections? No one knows, and anyone claiming otherwise lies. Macron's forecast may remain an anecdote or become the prologue to something much worse. The only certainty is that suspicion no longer needs proof to circulate.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (144 replies).
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